I think Obama's showered a LOT more attention on Oregon than Washington.
They fought harder for the primary there, which was a critical test of his campaign after the IN-NC [slight?] victory.
I've gotten three to four contacts by the Obama campaign, living four-five hours away from Oregon, to tell all of my "friends" in Oregon to register.
I agree. I think that the polls are somewhat overstating Obama's lead in Oregon and under-balling it in Washington. However, the gap will shrink, and maybe disappear. That's not because Obama is a better candidate for Oregon, or McCain a worse one. I think McCain is probably worse for OR, but at the same time it's more polarized.
The shrinking gap is totally due to left-over primary enthusiasm and registration. I think VBM means it's somewhat overstated,
but I think it's more likely than Dukakis residuals (
).