OR: Riley Research: Merkley (D) Leads OR by 1%
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  OR: Riley Research: Merkley (D) Leads OR by 1%
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Author Topic: OR: Riley Research: Merkley (D) Leads OR by 1%  (Read 909 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« on: October 25, 2008, 04:03:44 PM »

New Poll: Oregon Senator by Riley Research on 2008-10-23

Summary: D: 36%, R: 35%, U: 23%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Of the following Oregon candidates for the US Senate, who will most likely get your vote: Republican Gordon Smith, Democrat Jeff Merkley, Constitution party candidate David Brownlow, or someone else? Very or somewhat?

VOTED FIRST REGISTERED TO LIKELY

GENDER PARTY COUNTY AGE VOTING HISTORY TIME VOTE VOTE PRES

————————— —————————————— ———————————————————————— ———————————————————————— ———————————————————————— —————————————— —————————————— —————————

HAVE JOHN

FE WILL C/E SO CO 18- 25- 35- 45- BFOR '06- NOT BFOR AFTR BRCK MC

Total MALE MALE DEM REP OTHR PDX VLY OR OR AST 24 34 44 64 65+ 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 0/4 2006 '08 VOTD 2006 2006 2006 OBMA CAIN

————— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ———— ————

Total Participants 499 275 224 212 174 113 201 138 48 59 32 31 54 82 221 111 67 67 119 202 44 415 40 44 415 31 53 241 171

55% 45% 42% 35% 23% 40% 28% 10% 12% 6% 6% 11% 16% 44% 22% 13% 13% 24% 40% 9% 83% 8% 9% 83% 6% 11% 48% 34%

Gordon Smith 35% 33% 37% 17% 69% 18% 32% 36% 48% 32% 34% 26% 30% 32% 34% 45% 28% 37% 38% 37% 25% 37% 28% 25% 36% 39% 26% 10% 75%

Gordon Smith - Very 27 26 29 11 56 13 24 28 44 24 22 19 26 23 25 39 22 33 30 29 14 29 22 14 29 26 19 6 63

Gordon Smith - Somewhat 8 8 8 5 13 4 7 7 4 8 13 6 4 9 9 6 6 4 8 8 11 7 5 11 7 13 8 3 12

Jeff Merkley 36% 38% 33% 59% 6% 38% 40% 37% 17% 34% 38% 35% 37% 39% 38% 29% 40% 21% 34% 42% 30% 35% 50% 30% 35% 39% 38% 64% 5%

Jeff Merkley - Very 26 25 27 41 5 31 29 30 8 27 22 26 20 27 30 21 25 18 23 31 27 25 35 27 26 29 28 47 4

Jeff Merkley - Somewhat 10 13 6 18 2 7 11 7 8 7 16 10 17 12 8 8 15 3 11 11 2 10 15 2 10 10 9 17 1

David Brownlow 4% 2% 6% 2% 5% 6% 2% 6% 4% 5% - 3% - 7% 4% 4% 3% 1% 8% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4% 6% 2% 1% 4%

David Brownlow - Very 2 1 4 0 3 4 2 3 2 2 - 3 - 5 2 1 1 1 5 0 2 2 - 2 2 - 2 0 2

David Brownlow - Somewhat 2 1 2 1 2 3 0 3 2 3 - - - 2 2 3 1 - 3 2 - 2 3 - 2 6 - 1 2

Miscellaneous 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% - - 5% - 3% 4% - 2% 2% - 7% 3% 1% - 2% 3% - 2% - - 1% 2%

Miscellaneous candidate 2 2 2 2 3 1 3 - - 5 - 3 4 - 2 2 - 7 3 1 - 2 3 - 2 - - 1 2

Undecided/Refused 23% 24% 22% 21% 17% 37% 22% 22% 31% 24% 28% 32% 30% 22% 22% 21% 28% 33% 18% 17% 43% 22% 17% 43% 22% 16% 34% 24% 14%

Don't know/Undecided 22 23 20 18 17 36 21 21 31 20 25 32 28 18 22 19 25 33 17 16 41 20 15 41 21 16 32 24 14

Refused 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 - 3 3 - 2 4 0 2 3 - 2 1 2 1 3 2 1 - 2 0 -

Chi Square 14.02 189.85 39.12 34.96 62.07 22.29 14.24 215.22

.081 .001 .181 .329 .001 .134 .581 .001
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P

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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2008, 11:28:15 PM »


I don't remember where I found this one, but Riley Research is in Dave's list of polling companies, so people must've posted them before.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2008, 12:00:28 AM »

Important reminder
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