SurveyUSA Indiana: Obama 49-McCain 45

[Wiz in Wis]

McCain has a problem in the Hoosier state.

http://www.whas11.com/justposted/stories/081023whasasPoliticsIndianaPoll.13e574f24.html

[Alcon]

Thought this was a national at first

[Lief 🗽]

Yesyesyes.

[Moooooo]

Chalk it up to Barney

[Ronnie]

Hooee...

[Rowan]

I want to see the internals first.

[Lunar]

A bit favorable, but McCain *is* lowering his ad count in PA and CO in order to up his ad count, for the first time, in Indiana

[Moooooo]

A bit favorable, but McCain *is* lowering his ad count in PA and CO in order to up his ad count, for the first time, in Indiana

[MR maverick]

A bit favorable, but McCain *is* lowering his ad count in PA and CO in order to up his ad count, for the first time, in Indiana

Really?

Because Dick Morris just said that McCain is going to win because of new ads about joe the plumber.

Hes a expert you know.

[Rowan]

Doesn't Indiana have strict "Do not call" laws?

[Moooooo]

A bit favorable, but McCain *is* lowering his ad count in PA and CO in order to up his ad count, for the first time, in Indiana

Really?

Because Dick Morris just said that McCain is going to win because of new ads about joe the plumber.

Hes a expert you know.

Indiana or the election?  He's all over the place.

[memphis]

I'm very suprised, and I still want to know where in Indiana Obama is getting this big swing. Rural ethanol voters? Medium sized cities (Ft. Wayne, Evansville....)?

[longtimelurker]

Has there been an increase in the percentage of Hispanic voters in the state? 

[Smash255]

I'm very suprised, and I still want to know where in Indiana Obama is getting this big swing. Rural ethanol voters? Medium sized cities (Ft. Wayne, Evansville....)?

Combination of everything, the biggest swings are probably going to be in areas such as Hamilton County (just north of Indianapolis)

[Eraserhead]

Obama must  be doing pretty good with the blessed NASCAR dads.

[MR maverick]

A bit favorable, but McCain *is* lowering his ad count in PA and CO in order to up his ad count, for the first time, in Indiana

Really?

Because Dick Morris just said that McCain is going to win because of new ads about joe the plumber.

Hes a expert you know.

Indiana or the election?  He's all over the place.

Dick Morris says McCain will win the election because of Joe the Plumber.

[Ronnie]

I'm very suprised, and I still want to know where in Indiana Obama is getting this big swing. Rural ethanol voters? Medium sized cities (Ft. Wayne, Evansville....)?

Places like Vigo county, Evansville, Indianapolis, and  rural Indiana in general are really helping Obama in the state.  In some places where Bush broke 70%, Obama has the ability to bring down the margin to mid-high 50s.

McCain just can't turn out rural voters as much as Bush.  McCain better hope there is a "Palin effect" in the state, or else it could be uncomfortably close.  

[© tweed]

internals


omg 37-37-23 party ID TRASH POLL SUSA (D) HACKS [/Rowan]

[Alcon]

internals


omg 37-37-23 party ID TRASH POLL SUSA (D) HACKS [/Rowan]

Kansas Senate poll?

[© tweed]

my bad, bro!

[Aizen]

Indiana is now red on Leip's map

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

internals


omg 37-37-23 party ID TRASH POLL SUSA (D) HACKS [/Rowan]

Minnesota = tossup, SUSA said so. [/Rowan]

[Tender Branson]

Just as nice as seeing Bachmann going down ...

[Democratic Hawk]

Republican 37% (38%): McCain 81% (85%); Obama 16% (12%)

Democrat 37% (37%): McCain 14% (15%); Obama 82% (82%)

Independent 23% (18%): McCain 39% (42%); Obama 47% (45%)

Conservative 35% (34%): McCain 81% (85%); Obama 15% (11%)

Moderate 45% (39%): McCain 30% (38%); Obama 63% (56%)

Liberal 13% (12%): McCain 15% (9%); Obama 78% (85%)

(denotes SUSA, Sep. 28-29, 2008)

[ChrisFromNJ]

Indiana's voter turnout in 2004 was only 55%, one of the lowest in the country.

Obama's ground game might be helping a ton here. Newly registered voters might be giving him a decent boost. He is also igniting the usually ignored Indiana black electorate.