The Harris Poll: Obama+6 (LV), +8 (RV)

[Tender Branson]

These are the results of a Harris Poll of 2,119 adults of whom 1,390 were likely voters, surveyed online between October 16 and 20, 2008.

LV:

Obama - 50
McCain - 44

RV:

Obama - 49
McCain - 41

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/obama-holds-six-point-lead/story.aspx?guid={2EB2B28E-A535-43FF-B0D7-9AAF20B45D77}&dist=hppr

[ChrisFromNJ]

I read Bob Shrum's book, and he always referenced the Harris Poll. He made mentions of it numerous times, especially during his campaigns in the 90s.

Why is that?

Does the Harris Poll have a good industry wide reputation?

[Tender Branson]

I read Bob Shrum's book, and he always referenced the Harris Poll. He made mentions of it numerous times, especially during his campaigns in the 90s.

Why is that?

Does the Harris Poll have a good industry wide reputation?

Allthough it's an Internet Poll, it has actually very sound internals.

Just click at the link for crosstabs.

[Sam Spade]

Harris polling has been around about as long as Gallup, slightly less actually, which makes it 2nd oldest, I think.

Historically, I seem to remember their polls having a Democratic lean, but not major.

They nailed 2000, but had Kerry winning by +1 in 2004.

[TheGlobalizer]

I'm guessing a self-selection effect skewing the numbers a bit.

Any comments from the poll gurus?

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

I'm guessing a self-selection effect skewing the numbers a bit.

Any comments from the poll gurus?

I'm no poll guru, but this seems about right...I think Obama is up 7, plus or minus 3.

[J. J.]

I'm guessing a self-selection effect skewing the numbers a bit.

Any comments from the poll gurus?

I remember seeing their numbers in Carter/Ford, usually reported on ABC, IIRC.

Not bad but always secondary to Gallup.