RAS WV and SC: McCain extending lead
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Author Topic: RAS WV and SC: McCain extending lead  (Read 1252 times)
Rowan
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« on: October 21, 2008, 01:48:28 PM »
WV
McCain 52%(+2)
Obama 43%(+1)

SC
McCain 54%(+3)
Obama 43%(-2)
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2008, 01:50:43 PM »
Their last SC poll was pretty clearly suspicious, but the WV poll isn't good news for Obama.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2008, 01:52:27 PM »
Well, if he's gonna make gains, I'd rather he do it in states that are already basically safe for him.
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Rococo4
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2008, 01:53:41 PM »
Obama was never winning WV.  One poll, one time, showed Obama ahead. 

The national media and people were going crazy...

Just dumb.  Regardless of anything else, McCain is going to and was always going to win WV.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2008, 02:04:43 PM »
Do you also know their TN results ?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2008, 02:08:17 PM »

If *the bot* is releasing those numbers today, it didn't put it in the afternoon update.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2008, 02:25:31 PM »
I really hope no one actually believed, outside of ChrisNJ, that WV would be close. McCain will win here by about 10 or so. SC was never going to be within 6% like their last poll showed. I expect Obama will get 43% or so here if he wins by 4-5 nationally.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2008, 03:37:40 PM »
High single digit wins in both of these states for McCain feels right.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2008, 03:59:52 PM »
Quote from: Resident of Fake America on October 21, 2008, 03:37:40 PM
High single digit wins in both of these states for McCain feels right.

Classic Lief again. McCain will win SC by double digits unless AA turnout is at record highs. 56-43 or something like that, maybe 55-44.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2008, 04:03:07 PM »
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on October 21, 2008, 03:59:52 PM
Quote from: Resident of Fake America on October 21, 2008, 03:37:40 PM
High single digit wins in both of these states for McCain feels right.

Classic Lief again. McCain will win SC by double digits unless AA turnout is at record highs. 56-43 or something like that, maybe 55-44.
Yeah, 55-44 or 54-45 is about my prediction. Might be 56-43 if something bad happens or 53-45 if something good happens.
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Lunar
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2008, 05:16:22 PM »
Obama's only running behind Manchin 59%.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2008, 05:18:55 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on October 21, 2008, 05:16:22 PM
Obama's only running behind Manchin 59%.

28% surely [qm]

(71 minus 43 is 28, right... my maths always was awful, so...)
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Lunar
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2008, 07:29:14 PM »
Quote from: Sibboleth on October 21, 2008, 05:18:55 PM
Quote from: Lunar on October 21, 2008, 05:16:22 PM
Obama's only running behind Manchin 59%.

28% surely [qm]

(71 minus 43 is 28, right... my maths always was awful, so...)

Well, margin-wise.  (Machin is 50% ahead and Obama is 9% down)>

My math is more fun, even if it's less accurate.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2008, 10:45:34 PM »
Quote from: Rococo4 on October 21, 2008, 01:53:41 PM
Obama was never winning WV.  One poll, one time, showed Obama ahead. 

The national media and people were going crazy...

Just dumb.  Regardless of anything else, McCain is going to and was always going to win WV.

ARG no less... 

Funny thing is it was mostly Obama supporting Democrats on this forum that were claiming he would get totally slaughtered in this state because of the massive "racist" vote in the primaries.

I think it was more than just the poll, it was rather the time frame in which the poll was taken shortly after the economic crisis broke when Obama's numbers peaked, and an occasional talking head or two on cable news went way OTT.

Thank goodness we haven't seen much of that kind of hackery on this forum! (At least not with regards to WV).
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