PA-Susquehanna (R): Obama leads by 8
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  PA-Susquehanna (R): Obama leads by 8		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: PA-Susquehanna (R): Obama leads by 8  (Read 1391 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 20, 2008, 02:25:26 PM »
Obama - 48
McCain - 40
Others - 5
Undecided - 7

The telephone survey of 700 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Saturday.

http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/breaking/s_594239.html
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2008, 02:26:43 PM »
Susquehanna is an (R)? Then lets classify PPP as a (D) then.
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opebo
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2008, 02:29:25 PM »
Ouch.. below 50%.  So adding the 7% undecideds to McCain's 40%, and transferring a 3% Bradley effect from Obama to McCain = McCain wins at 50% with Obama getting just 45%.
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2008, 02:40:57 PM »
Their primary polling had Clinton winning by 3, so it tended to be pro-Obama at that time.
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LanceMcSteel
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2008, 02:42:19 PM »
Quote from: opebo on October 20, 2008, 02:29:25 PM
Ouch.. below 50%.  So adding the 7% undecideds to McCain's 40%, and transferring a 3% Bradley effect from Obama to McCain = McCain wins at 50% with Obama getting just 45%.

lolwut
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2008, 02:44:03 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 20, 2008, 02:40:57 PM
Their primary polling had Clinton winning by 3, so it tended to be pro-Obama at that time.

Which was 2 weeks before the election, with a quarter undecided in their poll ...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2008, 02:44:19 PM »
Quote from: opebo on October 20, 2008, 02:29:25 PM
Ouch.. below 50%.  So adding the 7% undecideds to McCain's 40%, and transferring a 3% Bradley effect from Obama to McCain = McCain wins at 50% with Obama getting just 45%.
Haha, Opebo never fails to delight.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2008, 03:12:55 PM »
Anyone (Sam Spade?) have a feel for this poll's track record?
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2008, 03:22:02 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2008, 03:25:40 PM by Alcon »
Had Obama +7 in May, +5 on the 14th, only other polling I can find appears to be a sketchy primary poll.  In other words, no real record outside of the primary, and barely one there.

Doesn't appear to be an internal pollster, just a semi-independent (hence the D primary polling) that does work for Republican, conservative and neutral clients.

One of their clients is Three Mile Island.  Seriously.
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J. J.
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2008, 07:07:16 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 20, 2008, 02:44:03 PM
Quote from: J. J. on October 20, 2008, 02:40:57 PM
Their primary polling had Clinton winning by 3, so it tended to be pro-Obama at that time.

Which was 2 weeks before the election, with a quarter undecided in their poll ...

It still tended pro-Obama, at the time.  One poll does not a track record make.
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tokar
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2008, 09:32:11 AM »
Why has this not been added to the system?
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Alcon
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2008, 11:13:15 AM »
Quote from: tokar on October 21, 2008, 09:32:11 AM
Why has this not been added to the system?

(R) with sort of unknown methodology?
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2008, 02:59:24 PM »
Database entry: http://www.uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=4220081018106
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