18 days away, what's your prediction?
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Author Topic: 18 days away, what's your prediction?  (Read 5482 times)
Eraserhead
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« Reply #25 on: October 18, 2008, 11:46:16 PM »


Lay off the drugs.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #26 on: October 19, 2008, 01:08:44 AM »



Not so sure about MO, VA, OH or FL. They could go either way.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #27 on: October 19, 2008, 01:14:56 AM »



Obama 366
McCain 172
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MR maverick
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« Reply #28 on: October 19, 2008, 01:32:05 AM »



LOL Foxnews would blow their tops trying to cover it or refuse and show rewinds of the Oreilly factor that night.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #29 on: October 19, 2008, 01:33:30 AM »

LOL Foxnews would blow their tops trying to cover it or refuse and show rewinds of the Oreilly factor that night.


HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!   no
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opebo
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« Reply #30 on: October 19, 2008, 03:48:09 AM »

Here is actual map, and it should be McCain 274 to Obama 264:



I'm afraid J.J.'s map is the most likely come election day.  Let me represent it like this:



I think that Missouri and Ohio will stay with McCain, and Virginia is likely to come home to him (all due to racism of course).  Pennsylvania will be a tossup on election day, due to racism.  Nevada and Colorado are tossups now and tossups on election day, due to racism. 

So within this narrow band of possibilities, a McCain victory is certainly more likely than an Obama victory.  Due to the racism of white americans.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #31 on: October 19, 2008, 06:24:25 AM »

Obama to win, with 52-55% of the popular vote and 300-350 electoral college votes.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #32 on: October 19, 2008, 07:56:39 AM »

Wake me in 17 days.  I think I have a decent feel as to what's going on, but there's still too many variables.

BORING ................
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Iosif
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« Reply #33 on: October 19, 2008, 08:02:39 AM »

Wake me in 17 days.  I think I have a decent feel as to what's going on, but there's still too many variables.

BORING ................

I find this post amusing.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #34 on: October 19, 2008, 09:23:35 AM »

Wake me in 17 days.  I think I have a decent feel as to what's going on, but there's still too many variables.

BORING ................

I find this post amusing.

Interesting.
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opebo
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« Reply #35 on: October 19, 2008, 09:26:50 AM »

Wake me in 17 days.  I think I have a decent feel as to what's going on, but there's still too many variables.

BORING ................

I find this post amusing.

Interesting.

It was an odd remark on the part of Kalimantan, as all of SS's posts are boring.
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Wall St. Wiz
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« Reply #36 on: October 19, 2008, 09:36:47 AM »

Obama to win, with 52-55% of the popular vote and 300-350 electoral college votes.

Wow, that's really putting yourself out on a limb to make a prediction lol.  Why not just say Obama is going to win haha.

Obama +4% in PV, 329-209 in EV.  Colorado, Virginia, Florida, Missouri, NV, and NM flip.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #37 on: October 19, 2008, 11:31:17 AM »
« Edited: October 19, 2008, 11:40:19 AM by The Vorlon »

As of today (October 19th) The RCP average is Obama +5.

I will stay with my forcast of 7 weeks ago.... Smiley -

My god how time flies Smiley
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muon2
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« Reply #38 on: October 19, 2008, 11:49:07 AM »

It's in my signature, based on analysis done a week ago (I lack the foresight of Vorlon). I may do one update the weekend before the election when I try to call my toss-ups.
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Torie
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« Reply #39 on: October 19, 2008, 11:52:57 AM »

As of today (October 19th) The RCP average is Obama +5.

I will stay with my forcast of 7 weeks ago.... Smiley -

My god how time flies Smiley

What was that? +6% for one candidate or the other, now known to be Obama?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #40 on: October 19, 2008, 01:09:17 PM »

It's in my signature, based on analysis done a week ago (I lack the foresight of Vorlon). I may do one update the weekend before the election when I try to call my toss-ups.

Force the toss-ups now! Now!
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snowguy716
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« Reply #41 on: October 19, 2008, 01:19:52 PM »



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The Vorlon
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« Reply #42 on: October 19, 2008, 03:20:24 PM »

It's in my signature, based on analysis done a week ago (I lack the foresight of Vorlon). I may do one update the weekend before the election when I try to call my toss-ups.

yea, but you can't travel through time like I can Wink
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #43 on: October 19, 2008, 03:22:39 PM »

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Torie
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« Reply #44 on: October 19, 2008, 03:22:56 PM »

Wake me in 17 days.  I think I have a decent feel as to what's going on, but there's still too many variables.

BORING ................

I find this post amusing.

Interesting.

It's over Sam, absent a big surprise - totally over.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #45 on: October 19, 2008, 03:23:35 PM »

As of today (October 19th) The RCP average is Obama +5.

I will stay with my forcast of 7 weeks ago.... Smiley -

My god how time flies Smiley

What was that? +6% for one candidate or the other, now known to be Obama?

Go back and read the thread.. at the time the polls were at a very modest McCain lead, I said it woud break for Mr. Obama.. as indicated by the 300+ EVs I suggested for the Junior Senator from Illinois.. Smiley
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Torie
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« Reply #46 on: October 19, 2008, 03:29:53 PM »

As of today (October 19th) The RCP average is Obama +5.

I will stay with my forcast of 7 weeks ago.... Smiley -

My god how time flies Smiley

What was that? +6% for one candidate or the other, now known to be Obama?

Go back and read the thread.. at the time the polls were at a very modest McCain lead, I said it woud break for Mr. Obama.. as indicated by the 300+ EVs I suggested for the Junior Senator from Illinois.. Smiley

Oh. I read a post of yours about 3 weeks ago, where I thought you said the election would not be that close, and would break one way or the other.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #47 on: October 19, 2008, 04:45:02 PM »

Wake me in 17 days.  I think I have a decent feel as to what's going on, but there's still too many variables.

BORING ................

I find this post amusing.

Interesting.

It's over Sam, absent a big surprise - totally over.

Torie, Torie, Torie...

You presume, whether you are correct or incorrect in your presumption or not, that my prediction has to do with whether McCain will win or not and is not about the size of an Obama victory.

In other words, I may be indecisive about the level of an Obama victory, but I may be assured that he is going to win.  Or maybe not. 

Right now, I keep the cards close to my vest.  It is the best way to keep entertaining Alcon.  Tongue
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Alcon
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« Reply #48 on: October 19, 2008, 04:50:09 PM »

Right now, I keep the cards close to my vest.  It is the best way to keep entertaining Alcon.  Tongue

But maybe I'd prefer to be entertained exponentially more on November 5th.  Ever think about that?  Wink
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muon2
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« Reply #49 on: October 19, 2008, 05:44:27 PM »

It's in my signature, based on analysis done a week ago (I lack the foresight of Vorlon). I may do one update the weekend before the election when I try to call my toss-ups.

yea, but you can't travel through time like I can Wink

Darn those 4-vectors of spacetime. Tongue
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