NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin (user search)
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  NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin (search mode)
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Author Topic: NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin  (Read 1673 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: October 14, 2008, 11:32:03 PM »

New Poll: New Mexico President by Survey USA on 2008-10-13

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, I: 2%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


Early voters (10% of the sample):

Obama - 60%
McCain - 37%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2008, 12:05:47 AM »

Seems like obama should be close in Texas if he's winning the Hispanic vote 2-1?

Obama winning Texas and he could tell PA to go f it self.

Wonder if Hillary would be doing better or if he picked Richardson as Vp?

It seems Hispanics in TX are more conservative than Hispanics in NM.

Let's see what happens if Obama wins 60% of TX Hispanics on Election Day, using 2004 composition:

White (66%): Obama 25%
Hispanic (20%): Obama 60%
African-American (12%): Obama 95%
Others (2%): Obama 60%

Obama gets 41% of the vote in TX.

If Obama manages to increase Latino or African-American tunout, or get close to 30% among Whites, he could move up to about 45% of the vote overall.
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