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  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin
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Author Topic: NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin  (Read 1440 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 14, 2008, 11:32:03 pm »

New Poll: New Mexico President by Survey USA on 2008-10-13

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, I: 2%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


Early voters (10% of the sample):

Obama - 60%
McCain - 37%
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Vsanto5
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2008, 11:46:20 pm »

I am actually going to NM from Thursday through Monday doing door to door in Las Cruces, NM luckily its kinda already leaning Obama.  Anything is better than Texas though.
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MR maverick
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2008, 11:56:50 pm »

Seems like obama should be close in Texas if he's winning the Hispanic vote 2-1?

Obama winning Texas and he could tell PA to go f it self.

Wonder if Hillary would be doing better or if he picked Richardson as Vp?
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Vsanto5
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2008, 12:03:38 am »

Seems like obama should be close in Texas if he's winning the Hispanic vote 2-1?

Obama winning Texas and he could tell PA to go f it self.

Wonder if Hillary would be doing better or if he picked Richardson as Vp?

Texas Hispanics are so disorganized and misinformed on the issues, and I am not just saying this because they aren't all voting Democratic but because we as a group have a very low turnout which pisses me off.  I mean even if they vote Republican I don't care as long as we are voting.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2008, 12:05:47 am »

Seems like obama should be close in Texas if he's winning the Hispanic vote 2-1?

Obama winning Texas and he could tell PA to go f it self.

Wonder if Hillary would be doing better or if he picked Richardson as Vp?

It seems Hispanics in TX are more conservative than Hispanics in NM.

Let's see what happens if Obama wins 60% of TX Hispanics on Election Day, using 2004 composition:

White (66%): Obama 25%
Hispanic (20%): Obama 60%
African-American (12%): Obama 95%
Others (2%): Obama 60%

Obama gets 41% of the vote in TX.

If Obama manages to increase Latino or African-American tunout, or get close to 30% among Whites, he could move up to about 45% of the vote overall.
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2008, 12:07:04 am »

I mean even if they vote Republican I don't care as long as we are voting.

That's an excellent attitude and one I applaud.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2008, 12:18:05 am »

Are those really the sort of turnout numbers one would expect for Hispanics in New Mexico? Yikes. Or do a lot of the Spanish-ancestry-identifying "Hispanics" call themselves white?
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King
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2008, 12:32:33 am »

Obama's campaign has really organized early voting very well here.   I've been badgered about it on the streets about 7 times within the past two weeks by 7 different people in 3 different (highly Democratic) counties. 

That's good for them, especially in rural areas.  New Mexican Democrats are horrible at turning out on Election Day.  I think there are probably more Democrats than Independents and Republicans combined, but the Indies and Republicans actually take the time to show up while us Dems are busy getting high on meth and eating pinto beans every November.
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MR maverick
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2008, 02:10:23 am »

Why are they more Conservative? 

The GOP uses them like a panta when their voters in the redneck south start complaining about their jobs being took.

Its like the Gop only likes the Mexican vote when they need to hold Texas and AZ after the elections then its back to " Those damn illegals".
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2008, 09:24:25 am »

You know that something weird is going on with SUSA when their NM poll looks like the best sample of the last few.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2008, 09:27:37 am »

Republican 37% (35%): McCain 84% (85%); Obama 13% (13%)

Democrat 50% (50%): McCain 16% (17%); Obama 81% (79%)

Independent 13% (13%): McCain 46% (37%); Obama 49% (53%)

Conservative 30% (27%): McCain 82% (79%); Obama 16% (18%)

Moderate 37% (42%): McCain 36% (36%); Obama 60% (60%)

Liberal 14% (14%): McCain 11% (9%); Obama 88% (88%)

Top issue - the economy 57% (57%): Obama 57% (55%); McCain 41% (41%)

(denotes SUSA, Sep. 29-30, 2008)
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