Non-Gallup/Rasmussen tracking polls thread

[BlueSwan]

IBD/TIPP - November 2, 2004
Obama 46.7 (-1.2)
McCain 44.4 (+1.0)
Undecided 8.9% (+0.2%)

Yikes! Don't like that one.

[Verily]

Folks, remember what I said Friday evening.  Do not trust Halloween night polling.  Even if it is correct or shows a pro-McCain result (which it is unlikely to considering who is out).  I've been reading up a bit on Zogby's polling practices, and my sample today is partially Halloween night polling, so there.

I disagree with the assessment that Halloween would be a good night for Obama generically. A lot of adults with children will be out, but a lot of young adults will also be out (as Halloween has increasingly become a holiday for 20 and 30-somethings as well as children). Plus, Halloween means vacationing for the weekend is much less likely.

[pepper11]

Its actually McCain 44.6

[pepper11]

Folks, remember what I said Friday evening.  Do not trust Halloween night polling.  Even if it is correct or shows a pro-McCain result (which it is unlikely to considering who is out).  I've been reading up a bit on Zogby's polling practices, and my sample today is partially Halloween night polling, so there.

I disagree with the assessment that Halloween would be a good night for Obama generically. A lot of adults with children will be out, but a lot of young adults will also be out (as Halloween has increasingly become a holiday for 20 and 30-somethings as well as children). Plus, Halloween means vacationing for the weekend is much less likely.

Don't know why, but Halloween was a good night for Obama.  Saturday was a great night for McCain. 

[Sam Spade]

Folks, remember what I said Friday evening.  Do not trust Halloween night polling.  Even if it is correct or shows a pro-McCain result (which it is unlikely to considering who is out).  I've been reading up a bit on Zogby's polling practices, and my sample today is partially Halloween night polling, so there.

I disagree with the assessment that Halloween would be a good night for Obama generically. A lot of adults with children will be out, but a lot of young adults will also be out (as Halloween has increasingly become a holiday for 20 and 30-somethings as well as children). Plus, Halloween means vacationing for the weekend is much less likely.

You're also missing Friday night high school football in a good part of this country.  And you're forgetting how the tracking polls reacted with Bush in 2004 on Halloween.

It's just a bad night to poll, but it'll be off the tracker for the final day.

[Lunar]

.... and the TIPP gets headline treatment by Drudge.

[Sam Spade]

.... and the TIPP gets headline treatment by Drudge.

In other news, I hear the Pope is still Catholic.

[Iosif]

I heard he's a Nazi.

[TheGlobalizer]

I heard he's a Nazi.

Isn't that a requirement?

[Iosif]

You're confusing the Catholic church with the Republican party.

[TheGlobalizer]

You're confusing the Catholic church with the Republican party.

The Catholic church has done far more to aid Nazism in this world than the Republicans could ever hope to.

[Alcon]

[Lunar]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/postpoll_110208.html

Obama +11%

[TheGlobalizer]

WP = Obama codpiece

[Alcon]

WP = Obama codpiece

Talking codpiece?

That's a really weird metaphor

[J. J.]

WP = Obama codpiece

Talking codpiece?

That's a really weird metaphor

But quite Freudian. 

[Alcon]

WP = Obama codpiece

Talking codpiece?

That's a really weird metaphor

But quite Freudian. 

I'm lost.  The Washington Post is secretly Democratic because their athletic wear may talk, threatening their masculinity and causing them to lust for their mothers?

[J. J.]

WP = Obama codpiece

Talking codpiece?

That's a really weird metaphor

But quite Freudian. 

I'm lost.  The Washington Post is secretly Democratic because their athletic wear may talk, threatening their masculinity and causing them to lust for their mothers?

The metaphor was Freudian.

[Alcon]

Alleged Zogby

Obama 50.9% (+1.4)
McCain 43.8% (nc)
Undecided 5.3% (-1.4)

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[Lief 🗽]

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Also a two-candidate race, John...

[cinyc]

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Also a two-candidate race, John...

It's Zogby.

[Sam Spade]

Considering that the McCain +1 sample falls off tomorrow, I see a Zogby surge to Obama +10 or 11 by election day.

[Eraserhead]

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Also a two-candidate race, John...

His write-ups always have something to lol at.

[Verily]

Considering that the McCain +1 sample falls off tomorrow, I see a Zogby surge to Obama +10 or 11 by election day.

Probably more. To be Obama +7.1 today, he must have an average of Obama +10.5 on the past two days (plus McCain +1 three days ago). But it wouldn't be Zogby without a last-minute surge. I say it will be Obama +12 tomorrow.

[BlueSwan]

Considering that the McCain +1 sample falls off tomorrow, I see a Zogby surge to Obama +10 or 11 by election day.

Probably more. To be Obama +7.1 today, he must have an average of Obama +10.5 on the past two days (plus McCain +1 three days ago). But it wouldn't be Zogby without a last-minute surge. I say it will be Obama +12 tomorrow.

Or maybe he'll pull a McCain +20 sample out of his ass and declare the election all tied up tomorrow?