WCU/NPR Poll: Obama is far ahead in PA

[Eraserhead]

Obama 52%
McCain 42%

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/10/06/wcunpr_poll_obama_ahead_by_ten

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Phil:

[Verily]

The link is dead. Do you have a link to a PDF or something so I can enter the poll?

[Reaganfan]

PA was never going for McCain anyways.

[Keystone Phil]

Phil:

Do me a favor, dude, and get a life. You harass people on an internet political forum. Time to do something meaningful with your time.

If you win, you win. Good for you. I don't know why people insist on being children and rubbing it in. Your life can't be that pathetic.

[Keystone Phil]

And just so people know...honestly...I'm not really upset about this. Will it be disappointing? Definitely. I won't be happy. But it's weird how I've kind of resigned myself to the idea that this will happen. Guess what? Life goes on.

[Nym90]

Phil:

Do me a favor, dude, and get a life. You harass people on an internet political forum. Time to do something meaningful with your time.

If you win, you win. Good for you. I don't know why people insist on being children and rubbing it in. Your life can't be that pathetic.

You don't? You'd really expect different from someone whose only life's ambition is to enrich the strip clubs of Minneapolis?

But hey, if you can't bring yourself to click the ignore button, well, this be your punishment, my friend.

The results of this poll look reasonable if Obama is up 8 nationally, though it's probably a case of a broken clock being right twice a day more than anything else.

[Eraserhead]

The link is dead. Do you have a link to a PDF or something so I can enter the poll?

Well I don't think the poll has been officially released yet. Politicalwire got an "advance look at it".

[Vsanto5]

Phil, wanna trade states? I live in Texas. Its McCain country...

[Keystone Phil]

Phil, wanna trade states? I live in Texas. Its McCain country...

I love Pennsylvania. No thanks.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Phil:

Do me a favor, dude, and get a life. You harass people on an internet political forum. Time to do something meaningful with your time.

If you win, you win. Good for you. I don't know why people insist on being children and rubbing it in. Your life can't be that pathetic.

You were the one who presented your half-assed analysis as some sort of proof that Obama would never win Pennsylvania.

[ucscgaldamez]

Phil, I don't think you should give up yet. If the recent attacks are to work, one of the places it should work would be Pennsylvania. If it doesn't work there, I don't know where it will make much a difference.( swing states).

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

And just so people know...honestly...I'm not really upset about this. Will it be disappointing? Definitely. I won't be happy. But it's weird how I've kind of resigned myself to the idea that this will happen. Guess what? Life goes on.

OK fine. But at least admit then your anecdotal evidence doesn't mean anything.

[Keystone Phil]

Phil:

Do me a favor, dude, and get a life. You harass people on an internet political forum. Time to do something meaningful with your time.

If you win, you win. Good for you. I don't know why people insist on being children and rubbing it in. Your life can't be that pathetic.

You were the one who presented your half-assed analysis as some sort of proof that Obama would never win Pennsylvania.

I never said that Obama would never win PA. Enough with the damn trolling.

Phil, I don't think you should give up yet. If the recent attacks are to work, one of the places it should work would be Pennsylvania. If it doesn't work there, I don't know where it will make much a difference swing states).

I'm not giving up. I'm still going to work.

And just so people know...honestly...I'm not really upset about this. Will it be disappointing? Definitely. I won't be happy. But it's weird how I've kind of resigned myself to the idea that this will happen. Guess what? Life goes on.

OK fine. But at least admit then your anecdotal evidence doesn't mean anything.

Doesn't mean anything? No, I won't because it does mean something. Obama will struggle among the traditional PA Democratic base. PA isn't going to Obama by a wide margin.

[J. J.]

I'm predicting Obama, but by 1.5 points, in PA.

[Eraserhead]

I'm predicting Obama, but by 1.5 points, in PA.

That sounds like a pretty bad prediction, imho.

[ucscgaldamez]

Out of 5,800,000 voters ('04 turnout), Obama will win by 1.5%, or roughly 87,000 votes?

I think he will win Pennsylvania by about 230,000 votes (by 4%). However, I will adjust this by the end of this month.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm predicting Obama, but by 1.5 points, in PA.

That sounds like a pretty bad prediction, imho.

Consider the source, and how many bad predictions have also come from this source.

[Eraserhead]

I'm predicting Obama, but by 1.5 points, in PA.

That sounds like a pretty bad prediction, imho.

Consider the source, and how many bad predictions have also come from this source.

What are you talking about? Hillary was clearly closing the gap in Wisconsin.

[Keystone Phil]

I'm predicting Obama, but by 1.5 points, in PA.

That sounds like a pretty bad prediction, imho.

Consider the source, and how many bad predictions have also come from this source.

What are you talking about? Hillary was clearly closing the gap in Wisconsin.

Again, does this ever get old? Is this really that funny anymore? The hatred that you guys have for some of us (mostly just based on wrong predictions!)...wow. It's so depressing.

[Eraserhead]

I'm predicting Obama, but by 1.5 points, in PA.

That sounds like a pretty bad prediction, imho.

Consider the source, and how many bad predictions have also come from this source.

What are you talking about? Hillary was clearly closing the gap in Wisconsin.

Again, does this ever get old? Is this really that funny anymore? The hatred that you guys have for some of us (mostly just based on wrong predictions!)...wow. It's so depressing.

lol. I don't hate either of you. Just BSing.

[Keystone Phil]

lol. I don't hate either of you. Just BSing.

I don't know if you've ever done it to me but I know that others have (especially with J.J.) with comments like, "LOL! LOSERS WITH LOSING PREDICTIONS!!!!"

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

lol. I don't hate either of you. Just BSing.

I don't know if you've ever done it to me but I know that others have (especially with J.J.) with comments like, "LOL! LOSERS WITH LOSING PREDICTIONS!!!!"

The issue is despite his horrid track record J. J. continues to act like an arrogant know-it-all (and then there's his 2nd grade name calling...)

[Keystone Phil]

lol. I don't hate either of you. Just BSing.

I don't know if you've ever done it to me but I know that others have (especially with J.J.) with comments like, "LOL! LOSERS WITH LOSING PREDICTIONS!!!!"

The issue is despite his horrid track record J. J. continues to act like an arrogant know-it-all (and then there's his 2nd grade name calling...)

I really don't think you should be calling people out for immature behavior but whatever, dude. Enjoy the victory.

[tokar]

Phil, wanna trade states? I live in Texas. Its McCain country...

I love Pennsylvania. No thanks.

Then you must love the fact that its in the tank for the Democrats...now and for the foreseeable future...

Gore+4.5
Rendell+9
Kerry+2.5
Rendell+21
Casey+17.5

US House lead 11-8...maybe even larger with the Erie, PA area district looking like it will flip.
State house lead 102-101.  Yes, the SOTH had to be a republican to maintain the majority, but the majority will be large enough after this year that the dems won't have to be forced into choosing a republican SOTH.

State Senate is 29-21 in favor of the GOP, but is expected to be tight this year, maybe even flip.
Senator Specter is a republican, but I would not be surprised to see him upended in 2010, especially considering he is as old as the world itself.