MN: Survey USA: McCain 47, Obama 46

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Who is the ONLY pollster ever to have McCain up here?

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=27

Something else worth noting: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2006/polls.php?fips=24

SUSA may not be ARG, but if they're giving outliers, they're outliers.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Take a look at the companion Senate poll for a good laugh.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Their MN polling is awful. Hopefully they will have a turnaround in their next polls or will look really foolish on Nov. 5.

Agree. SUSA has had a very large Republican tilt in Minnesota specifically the whole campaign (both in the Senate and Presidential races). I have no idea why; they don't tend to have any partisan tilt in most states. Maybe they have trouble with rural Democrats?

Well the internals often show that, here McCain is getting over 60% in western Minnesota which is downright laughable and a previous one had McCain winning by double digits in northeastern Minnesota which is even more hilarious. Of course the standard MoE on those sample sizes comes to mind, but it shows in the sample where the problems are.

I think SUSA (and likely other pollsters too due to Lewis' post) just don't know how to sample a state with same day registration.

For Rowan by the way, look it up, the last time Minnesota was more GOP than the national average was 1952 (and even then only marginally.)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

McCain's been running quite a few ads here, haven't seen anything post-primary from Obama. Nothing wrong with him diverting some money from Michigan.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

How are the respective campaigns ground games looking in MN?

Obama is the hands down winner. He has 24 campaign offices to McCain's 6. He spent a lot of time and money building up a strong network for the caucus, while McCain just ignored the state. No comparison.