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  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  AL: Survey USA: McCain 64, Obama 34
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Author Topic: AL: Survey USA: McCain 64, Obama 34  (Read 2065 times)
Sam Spade
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« on: September 18, 2008, 01:41:53 pm »

New Poll: Alabama President by Survey USA on 2008-09-17

Summary: D: 34%, R: 64%, I: 1%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Topline Numbers

McCain 64%

Obama 34%

Other 1%

Undecided 1%
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2008, 01:47:51 pm »

Looks about right, maybe Obama will get 38%. Obama will receive about 15-20% of Whites in the Deep South, mabe 10% in MS. He'll win 95% of African-Americans though and they'll make up about 25% of the AL electorate.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2008, 01:51:46 pm »

While the polling shows McCain receiving close to 65% of the vote in Alabama, I wouldn't be surprised if McCain received 70% of the vote or more on Election Night. Alabama is still one of the capitals of racial tension in this country.
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jimmie
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2008, 01:53:01 pm »
« Edited: September 18, 2008, 01:57:13 pm by Hillary in 2012!!! »

While the polling shows McCain receiving close to 65% of the vote in Alabama, I wouldn't be surprised if McCain received 70% of the vote or more on Election Night. Alabama is still one of the capitals of racial tension in this country.

Voting wise.

But last time I checked NJ has more racial hate crimes per capita then Alabama.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2008, 01:56:41 pm »

While the polling shows McCain receiving close to 65% of the vote in Alabama, I wouldn't be surprised if McCain received 70% of the vote or more on Election Night. Alabama is still one of the capitals of racial tension in this country.

Voting wise.

But last time I checked NJ has more racial hate crimes per capita then New Jersey.

You might want to edit that
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Franzl
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2008, 02:34:34 pm »

While the polling shows McCain receiving close to 65% of the vote in Alabama, I wouldn't be surprised if McCain received 70% of the vote or more on Election Night. Alabama is still one of the capitals of racial tension in this country.

Voting wise.

But last time I checked NJ has more racial hate crimes per capita then Alabama.

Alabama hardly considers anything to be a race crime, too.
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2008, 02:50:31 pm »

While the polling shows McCain receiving close to 65% of the vote in Alabama, I wouldn't be surprised if McCain received 70% of the vote or more on Election Night. Alabama is still one of the capitals of racial tension in this country.

Voting wise.

But last time I checked NJ has more racial hate crimes per capita then Alabama.

Alabama hardly considers anything to be a race crime, too.

Yes, because the idea of a "hate crime" is silly in and of itself.
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Franzl
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2008, 02:51:56 pm »

While the polling shows McCain receiving close to 65% of the vote in Alabama, I wouldn't be surprised if McCain received 70% of the vote or more on Election Night. Alabama is still one of the capitals of racial tension in this country.

Voting wise.

But last time I checked NJ has more racial hate crimes per capita then Alabama.

Alabama hardly considers anything to be a race crime, too.

Yes, because the idea of a "hate crime" is silly in and of itself.

You have a point there, but surely you can agree then that states aren't comparable if they have separate definitions and separate methods of reporting, can't you?
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2008, 02:54:52 pm »

While the polling shows McCain receiving close to 65% of the vote in Alabama, I wouldn't be surprised if McCain received 70% of the vote or more on Election Night. Alabama is still one of the capitals of racial tension in this country.

Voting wise.

But last time I checked NJ has more racial hate crimes per capita then Alabama.

Alabama hardly considers anything to be a race crime, too.

Yes, because the idea of a "hate crime" is silly in and of itself.

You have a point there, but surely you can agree then that states aren't comparable if they have separate definitions and separate methods of reporting, can't you?

Can't argue with that.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2008, 03:21:38 pm »

I don't see McCain doing better than Bush in Alabama. That's just silly.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2008, 05:09:55 pm »

I don't see McCain doing better than Bush in Alabama. That's just silly.

Bush wasn't running against a black. Unless black turnout is way up, I wouldn't rule out the idea that he could do slightly better than Bush.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2008, 05:10:56 pm »

I don't see McCain doing better than Bush in Alabama. That's just silly.

McCain is a pretty poor fit for the state, but Obama is probably the worst fit for the state in any election ever.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2008, 03:28:41 am »

I don't see McCain doing better than Bush in Alabama. That's just silly.

McCain is a pretty poor fit for the state, but Obama is probably the worst fit for the state in any election ever.

Lincoln 1860
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auburntiger
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« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2008, 09:23:26 am »

64-34 no. Not with heavy black turnout across the south, and everywhere else. McCain, himself, is not a very good fit for the state, but Palin could help him break 60% again, although it's possible Bush overperformed here in 2004.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #14 on: September 19, 2008, 06:00:00 pm »

Republican 42% (40%): McCain 92% (93%); Obama 7% (5%)

Democrat 35% (35%): McCain 20% (21%); Obama 78% (71%)

Independent 17% (16%): McCain 75% (74%); Obama 22% (23%)

Conservative 45% (44%): McCain 88% (89%); Obama 11% (9%)

Moderate 27% (28%): McCain 57% (49%); Obama 40% (43%)

Liberal 9% (13%): McCain 18% (46%); Obama 79% (51%)

Top issue - the economy 60% (35%): McCain 62% (61%); Obama 36% (35%)

(denotes SUSA, Apr. 11-13, 2008)
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2008, 06:04:33 pm »

     Not surprising, though pleasant nevertheless.
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agcatter
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« Reply #16 on: September 19, 2008, 07:19:18 pm »

I think it will be something like 60 - 39.  I expect black turnout to increase a bit throughout the South.  Obama will get the same percentage of white vote as Kerry - no more no less and with black voter turnout up a notch, McCain doesn't reach the 62 or 63 percent that Bush garnered.

I'd say it will be the same effect as we will see in Mississippi, Georgia, and South Carolina.  Not so in Louisiana simply because there aren't as many blacks in that state post Katrina.  I think those bottom line numbers stay the same as in 2004.

Just my humble opinion.  Doesn't matter of course as none of those states flip, but gives us political junkies something to chew on.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #17 on: September 20, 2008, 09:26:55 am »

Why are they still polling Alabama?
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agcatter
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« Reply #18 on: September 20, 2008, 08:18:59 pm »

Because some dumbass television station is willing to throw away their money on an Alabama poll.  Don't ask me why.
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Smash255
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« Reply #19 on: September 22, 2008, 01:43:26 pm »

I don't see McCain doing better than Bush in Alabama. That's just silly.

Bush wasn't running against a black. Unless black turnout is way up, I wouldn't rule out the idea that he could do slightly better than Bush.

Whites in Alabama and Mississippi are already voting 80-85% Republican on the OPresidential level anyway, so the room to go up is very little.
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