50/50 Elections (user search)
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  50/50 Elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: 50/50 Elections  (Read 11984 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78
« on: September 19, 2008, 02:35:51 PM »
How about a swing to a three-way tie in years with strong third party candidates (1992, 1980,  1968)?
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78
« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2008, 09:55:31 PM »
« Edited: November 13, 2008, 10:04:08 PM by Verily »
That map is definitely wrong. The national margin is 6.7 points; Obama wins (narrowly) on a 50-50 map, 278-260. I think you accidentally applied a swing of 6.7 points instead of a swing of half of that; your map is of a 6.7-point McCain victory. I'll do it.

Here (guessing on NE-01):
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78
« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2008, 01:51:19 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on November 13, 2008, 10:36:20 PM
McCain doesn't break 60 in Tennessee?  Odd.

I realize that I did it just with swings, leaving the third-party vote in there. McCain would have taken over 60% of the two-party vote in Tennessee on an even split.
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