FOX/Rasmussen Swing State Polling (CO, FL, OH, PA, VA)

[Sam Spade]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/fox_rasmussen_polling/fox_rasmussen_swing_state_polling

One-day polls conducted on September 7, 2008 (which I think is a horrible day to be conducting polls, but who knows)

Colorado
Obama 49%
McCain 46%
Barr 2%
Not Sure 2%

Florida
Obama 48%
McCain 48%
Nader 2%
Not Sure 2%

Ohio
Obama 44%
McCain 51%
Nader 1%
Not Sure 3%

Pennsylvania
Obama 47%
McCain 45%
Barr 1%
Nader 1%
Not Sure 7%

Virginia
Obama 47%
McCain 49%
Barr 1%
Nader 1%
Not Sure 2%

[Lief 🗽]

One-day Sunday polls? Riiiight...

[Hash]

Ohio is just wrong.

[Keystone Phil]

Pennsylvania
Obama 47%
McCain 45%
Barr 1%
Nader 1%
Not Sure 7%

Strong lean Obama state

[Eraserhead]

I like what I see!

Well, Ohio is scary, but we have other options open to us if that one doesn't work out...

Also, it looks like MD might have been right about FL afterall.

[Lief 🗽]

I can live with that.

[Eraserhead]

I can live with that.

Me too.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Ohio is just wrong.

[Reaganfan]

Ohio is just wrong.

I've been waiting for it to come around the way it seems....Obama isn't exactly the most popular guy to win Ohio...especially since I know a number of Kerry voters voting for McCain this time because of Obama's race.

[© tweed]

Ohio is just wrong.

not quite sure about that...  I think Obama will win VA and CO and NM and IA and maybe even FL before he wins Ohio

[Keystone Phil]

Another note - Once again, PA has a higher than normal amount of undecided voters.

[© tweed]

Another note - Once again, PA has a higher than normal amount of undecided voters.

white working classers who don't like black people but more of them than not will swallow their pride and do the right thing come Nov.  we have some of them in my extended family.  I tend to dislike them.

[Reds4]

There's no way that McCain could be ahead by 7 in Ohio and behind by 3 in Colorado.

[Keystone Phil]

Another note - Once again, PA has a higher than normal amount of undecided voters.

white working classers who don't like black people but more of them than not will swallow their pride and do the right thing come Nov.  we have some of them in my extended family.  I tend to dislike them.

Haha, good luck on that "swallow their pride" idea.

[Reaganfan]

There's no way that McCain could be ahead by 7 in Ohio and behind by 3 in Colorado.

Sure. Obama has never been popular here...has a race problem.

Colorado is a much better fit for Obama, probably less of a race problem...and the convention was just held there.

[Reds4]

You are right about the convention being held there, that might be a little of it. My point is, I sincerely doubt McCain does 10 points better on a relative basis in Ohio on election day than he does in Colorado. I think Ohio is probably more like McCain by 3 or 4 now, and Colorado may be dead even.

[Eraserhead]

The real story here is FL.

[Eraserhead]

Now I would just like to check up on NM, IA, MN & WI to make sure that all is well.

[Reaganfan]

Note the lack of gender gaps in Florida and Ohio....

[Eraserhead]

A few things I noticed...

- Obama's favorable numbers have surged upward in VA.

- Obama is dominating McCain among hispanics in Florida.

- Ohio (according this poll) just looks absolutely awful for Obama.

- McCain is showing real signs of life in PA but will have to figure out how to not be crushed among Indies if he is going to win it.

[Sam Spade]

I am highly amused.

[Eraserhead]

I am highly amused.

Rassy's writeups, not mine.

[Sam Spade]

I am highly amused.

Rassy's writeups, not mine.

Actually, they show that these poll results are likely to be garbage.  Garbage that looks believable, but garbage nonetheless.  Sometimes you just gotta call a spade a spade...

Anyway, we'll see.  We need to wait a little bit right now.  Even though I think I have a good idea where things are at this moment.

[agcatter]

So where are they?

[J. J.]

McCain was up 53/42 with white white women, which was a turnaround.