OR: Survey USA: Obama's OR Lead Steady at 3%

[NOVA Green]

The cross-tabs on this poll look weird.... overly high male sample, excessively high Republican sample, too many college grads, and too many people from metro Portland....

This seems like an outlier to me, unless additional polling substantiates these numbers.

[NOVA Green]

The cross-tabs on this poll look weird.... overly high male sample, excessively high Republican sample, too many college grads, and too many people from metro Portland....

Metro Portland is defined as being huge by SUSA.  It includes Fossil somehow.  2/3 is about right.

Otherwise, yes, weird results.  Coming up with a majority-male sample in Oregon, outside of a GOP primary, is a feat.

Fossil? I suppose it also includes Marion county...

[NOVA Green]

I was convinced that OR would be close around this time 4 years ago, and I was proven dead wrong.  Not making the same mistake again.

OR is not in play in '08... Nader got 4% in 2000 making Oregon semi-close, but this illusion was dusted in '4.... It's been at least 24 years since Oregon has voted Republican for President...

[NOVA Green]

As I have said before, Obama will win by 6 +% at minimum....