Important states in 2004

[daniel27]

If u were President canidate, in wihich state would u spend the last hours of ur campaign?

[Gustaf]

Ohio, unless polls shows that FL is within reach, of course. But as things stand right now, definitely Ohio.

[elcorazon]

I think if the Democrats win any of the 3, they win, although Missouri would not be enough if Bush sweeps the SW, and somehow keeps NH & WV, along with Ohio & Fla.

[jravnsbo]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

[jravnsbo]

voted Missouri as they always picj the winner ( except 1956)

[Gustaf]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

[DarthKosh]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

[daniel27]

Gustaf, what prediction is ur actuell one???

[Gustaf]

Gustaf, what prediction is ur actuell one???

My real prediction would be the one where the Dems lose narrowly...the one where PA goes Dem, but TN doesn't, if you're referring to my maps, that is...

[Gustaf]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

[DarthKosh]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

[daniel27]

Why do u think they lose PA? I think at the moment Kerry must be 5 % befor bush

[Gustaf]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

[DarthKosh]

Why do u think they lose PA? I think at the moment Kerry must be 5 % befor bush

Pennsylvania maybe in the northeast but politically it isn't.

[DarthKosh]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

[Gustaf]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

I didn't say he wouldn't, all I'm saying is that PA is MORE LIKELY to go Dem than Ohio is. Are you disputing that or not?

[daniel27]

Nationwide Kerry lies 3, 5 % befor bush......why should he lose PA??

Why do u think they lose PA? I think at the moment Kerry must be 5 % befor bush

Pennsylvania maybe in the northeast but politically it isn't.

[DarthKosh]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

I didn't say he wouldn't, all I'm saying is that PA is MORE LIKELY to go Dem than Ohio is. Are you disputing that or not?

Yes.

[daniel27]

Yes u are right. PA is more likely to go DEM. than Ohio. But at the moment i think PA is very safe for Kerry..

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

I didn't say he wouldn't, all I'm saying is that PA is MORE LIKELY to go Dem than Ohio is. Are you disputing that or not?

[Gustaf]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

I didn't say he wouldn't, all I'm saying is that PA is MORE LIKELY to go Dem than Ohio is. Are you disputing that or not?

Yes.

I will restate the question: where would you place PA in relation to the national average?

[daniel27]

Gustaf i think your prediction is very good...i only disagree with Florida, Iowa, PA, New Mexiko and Missouri

[Gustaf]

Gustaf i think your prediction is very good...i only disagree with Florida, Iowa, PA, New Mexiko and Missouri

Thanks, that's good considering that I haven't put that much thought into it yet...you're expecting a Dem landslide then, or what?

[daniel27]

If it works good for Kerry 3% above the national average....

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

I didn't say he wouldn't, all I'm saying is that PA is MORE LIKELY to go Dem than Ohio is. Are you disputing that or not?

Yes.

I will restate the question: where would you place PA in relation to the national average?

[DarthKosh]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

I didn't say he wouldn't, all I'm saying is that PA is MORE LIKELY to go Dem than Ohio is. Are you disputing that or not?

Yes.

I will restate the question: where would you place PA in relation to the national average?

3 or 4 percent higher then the national average.

[Gustaf]

well bit skewed ont he poll.  What about PA, dems lose it Bush can lose essentially any of the ones mentioned.

Or there are a lot of little states in play.

The Dems are very unlikely to lose PA and still have a shot at the election. I think if OH goes Dem, then PA will too.

PA is anything but safe for Dems.

Yes, but it's more likely to go Dem than OH.

Don't be so sure.

The last time OH went Dem while PA went GOP was 1948. It's been the other way around in 1960, 1968 and 2000.

Bush will win both.

I didn't say he wouldn't, all I'm saying is that PA is MORE LIKELY to go Dem than Ohio is. Are you disputing that or not?

Yes.

I will restate the question: where would you place PA in relation to the national average?

3 or 4 percent higher then the national average.

You're being intentional with this b/c you like pyramids, right?

3 or 4 percent higher for Bush or for Kerry?