FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44 (user search)
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  FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44  (Read 2243 times)
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« on: August 04, 2008, 06:56:23 PM »
Quote from: True Democrat on August 04, 2008, 06:50:55 PM
No way McCain does better among women than men.

Also, I don't think McCain can win by six if he's losing among Hispanics by six.  The race numbers must be off.

     The race numbers are off. If you'll notice, the sample is only 11% Black.
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Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,180
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2008, 11:09:27 PM »
Quote from: Original Patriot on August 04, 2008, 06:57:53 PM
Quote from: PiT (The Physicist) on August 04, 2008, 06:56:23 PM
Quote from: True Democrat on August 04, 2008, 06:50:55 PM
No way McCain does better among women than men.

Also, I don't think McCain can win by six if he's losing among Hispanics by six.  The race numbers must be off.

     The race numbers are off. If you'll notice, the sample is only 11% Black.

Even the addition of more blacks wouldn't help Baracks numbers significantly IMHO.

     It seems your right. CNN had Florida as 12% Black in 2004. Census Bureau says the state is 15.8% Black. It seems that I significantly overestimated Black turnout & population.  For some reason, I was working under the assumption that the state was 20% Black.
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