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A18
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« on: September 04, 2004, 12:54:43 AM »
http://www.blogamericana.com/maincode/setprojection.php?Type=1

Post your electoral college results based on your prediction of the nation-wide popular vote come this November.

Then post your map WITHOUT the numbers or districts (turn them off at the bottom). That way all the maps look the same except for the actual blue/red. Smiley
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A18
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« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2004, 12:58:43 AM »
« Edited: September 04, 2004, 01:21:02 AM by Philip »
Bush 57%, 40% Kerry, 3% Other
Bush 488, Kerry 50
Bush wins 47 states
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2004, 11:40:47 AM »
Bush will win but he is too divisive to get 57%.
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A18
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« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2004, 01:46:12 PM »
He had a 57% approval rating at this time last year, though. I think he'll do well in the debates.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2004, 01:51:06 PM »
Quote from: Philip on September 04, 2004, 01:46:12 PM
He had a 57% approval rating at this time last year, though. I think he'll do well in the debates.

You really think 57% will vote for him?  You think he will get a significant portion of the anti-war vote?  Because that's what he'd have to do to get 57%.
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A18
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« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2004, 04:24:08 PM »
The public has had up to 70% approval for the war, though. I think some will be back in the fold before November.
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Ronald Reagan
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« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2004, 08:12:13 PM »
What a neat website!
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2004, 08:15:23 PM »
Quote from: Philip on September 04, 2004, 04:24:08 PM
The public has had up to 70% approval for the war, though. I think some will be back in the fold before November.

That was before 970 people died in what about 42-45% of the public sees as an unnecessary war.
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A18
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« Reply #8 on: September 04, 2004, 08:56:12 PM »
You do realize 50,000 people die in traffic accidents each year, right?
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King
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« Reply #9 on: September 04, 2004, 10:07:33 PM »
Quote from: Philip on September 04, 2004, 08:56:12 PM
You do realize 50,000 people die in traffic accidents each year, right?

Its all the Republican Party's fault...
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #10 on: September 05, 2004, 01:56:33 PM »
Quote from: Philip on September 04, 2004, 08:56:12 PM
You do realize 50,000 people die in traffic accidents each year, right?

Now there's a reason Bush will get 57%!
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StatesRights
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« Reply #11 on: September 05, 2004, 03:09:41 PM »
This is and remains my prediction :

Bush 52%
Kerry 47%
Other 1%

Map :
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A18
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« Reply #12 on: September 05, 2004, 07:13:14 PM »
No Democrat participation yet?
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King
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« Reply #13 on: September 05, 2004, 07:33:37 PM »
MY REAL PV PREDICTION:

Popular Vote Outcome: Bush 55.12, Kerry 44.02, Other 0.96

Electoral Outcome: Bush 452, Kerry 86, Other 0
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A18
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E: 9.23, S: -6.35

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« Reply #14 on: September 05, 2004, 07:50:28 PM »
Did you have to screw it up by posting an ugly numbers/CD map?

EDIT THE POST NOW!!! Tongue
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #15 on: September 05, 2004, 09:12:54 PM »
Quote from: Lt. Gov King for Senate on September 05, 2004, 07:22:12 PM
BEST PV I THINK KERRY COULD DO...

Popular Vote Outcome: Bush 48.80, Kerry 50.30, Other 0.90

Electoral Outcome: Bush 251, Kerry 287, Other 0



If Kerry gets that % he wins WV, NH, OH.
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A18
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« Reply #16 on: September 05, 2004, 09:44:02 PM »
Yeah, carry the damn map onto this page
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #17 on: September 05, 2004, 10:44:44 PM »
That site really doesn't take anything into account other than 2000 numbers and putting in PV advantage.  There's alot more to it than that.  Example, a canidate could run their enitre campaign on how great coal is, get 30%....and win West Va.  
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A18
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« Reply #18 on: September 05, 2004, 10:47:06 PM »
Correct. The trend is from four years ago, not twenty four.
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Ronald Reagan
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« Reply #19 on: September 06, 2004, 07:31:13 PM »
Quote from: Senator StatesRights on September 05, 2004, 03:09:41 PM
This is and remains my prediction :

Bush 52%
Kerry 47%
Other 1%

Map :



That is the exact same result I got from that website.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #20 on: September 07, 2004, 04:31:42 AM »
That`s essentially Bush's realistic maximum.
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Ronald Reagan
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« Reply #21 on: September 07, 2004, 06:04:48 PM »
Illinois, California, and Vermont could also swing.
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King
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« Reply #22 on: September 07, 2004, 06:19:00 PM »
Quote from: Spl2 on September 07, 2004, 06:04:48 PM
Illinois, California, and Vermont could also swing.

New Jersey and Delaware might swing aswell...Delaware was a big bellweather state until 2000...maybe they got some left in em....
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Ronald Reagan
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« Reply #23 on: September 07, 2004, 06:24:57 PM »
Quote from: Senator King on September 07, 2004, 06:19:00 PM
Quote from: Spl2 on September 07, 2004, 06:04:48 PM
Illinois, California, and Vermont could also swing.

New Jersey and Delaware might swing aswell...Delaware was a big bellweather state until 2000...maybe they got some left in em....
They could swing too, maybe Maryland, but unless it is a blowout I don't expect the rest of the states left.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #24 on: September 08, 2004, 04:18:02 AM »
Quote from: Spl2 on September 07, 2004, 06:24:57 PM
Quote from: Senator King on September 07, 2004, 06:19:00 PM
Quote from: Spl2 on September 07, 2004, 06:04:48 PM
Illinois, California, and Vermont could also swing.

New Jersey and Delaware might swing aswell...Delaware was a big bellweather state until 2000...maybe they got some left in em....
They could swing too, maybe Maryland, but unless it is a blowout I don't expect the rest of the states left.
Same goes for Illinois, California and Vermont.
In other words: Not possible this year. Not possible for this candidate. Period.
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