Quebec by-elections, 2008-2009

[Hash]

Jean-Talon, September 22
Resignation of Philippe Couillard



Liberal 41.96%
PQ 30.13%
ADQ 18.51%
Greens 4.51%
QS 4.47%
Fundies 0.29%

Jeanne-Mance–Viger, likely 2009
Resignation of Michel Bissonnet, President of the National Assembly



Liberal 68%
ADQ 14.98%
PQ 12.01%
Greens 2.59%
QS 2.08%
Trots 0.33%

Two safe Liberals, with the PQ very likely to take second place in both of them. The ADQ will take another trouncing. Jeanne-Mance-Viger represents part of Saint-Leonard, the Italian quarter of Montreal- which also has a relatively important Arab minority. 53.9% speak a "non-official language" as their maternal language, but only 29.8% speak a non-official language at home. 38.5% are also identified as immigrants, most from Italy. More demographics here.

[Verily]

Jean-Talon has at least an outside chance of being interesting. And the ADQ will get a humiliatingly low vote there. Their vote might end up lower in Jeanne-Mance-Viger, but everyone else's vote will be derisory in JMV, too, save the Liberals.

[Hatman 🍁]

Jean-Talon is in Quebec City, so calling it safe Liberal probably isn't the best idea. Although, I think the riding includes Sillery, which is the upper class/more Anglo part of the city. I spent some time in the riding during St-Jean weekend.

[Hash]

Jean-Talon is in Quebec City, so calling it safe Liberal probably isn't the best idea. Although, I think the riding includes Sillery, which is the upper class/more Anglo part of the city. I spent some time in the riding during St-Jean weekend.

Somebody told me the federal Conservatives are losing some ground in Quebec City. I haven't bothered checking polls because frankly, I could care less.

The PQ will likely gain votes in Jean-Talon- I'm expecting something along the lines of a 1-5% Liberal victory. Until 2003, the PQ-Lib elections were very narrow.

[MaxQue]

Somebody told me the federal Conservatives are losing some ground in Quebec City. I haven't bothered checking polls because frankly, I could care less.

I don't know but the ADQ had lost some ground in Quebec City according to the poll. That isn't surprising.

Probably Liberal. Liberals are popular now. The 2003 redistricting added University Laval and parts of Sillery and Sainte-Foy. The new health minister is the candidate. That will probably help the Liberal Party.

[MaxQue]

Bump. By-election in Jean-Talon is today. Liberal minister of Health Yves Bolduc is expected to win.

[Hash]

Result around 8PM.

[Hatman 🍁]

oh wow, I had no idea!

[MaxQue]

oh wow, I had no idea!

This by-election have no coverage in the medias.

[Hash]

All the parties have nominated a candidate, plus the PI once again.

[Hatman 🍁]

PLQ: 29
PQ: 19
ADQ: 7
Oth: 5

[Hatman 🍁]

52-32-10-7 now (2 polls)

[MaxQue]

PLQ 57%
PQ 29%
ADQ 8%

3/188

[Hatman 🍁]

58% - 27%

[MaxQue]

PLQ 63
PQ 26
ADQ 5

[Hash]

ADQ lol

Making my day.

[Hatman 🍁]

I'm calling this. Liberal win

[MaxQue]

10/188

PLQ 65
PQ 26
ADQ 3
PVQ 3
QS 2
PI 1

[Hash]

64.96
25.62
3.46

Greenies could get third if the ADQ continues to do this awful.

[Hash]

QuebecPolitique cites a PQ internal the sez Lib 50, PQ 30, ADQ 20.

[Hash]

13 out

Lib 66.18
PQ 24.08
ADQ 4.03
Greenies 3.02
QS 2.13
PI 0.56

[Hash]

ADQ and Greenies tied.

Scratch that, ADQ barely ahead now.

[Hash]

Libs under 60% (58.12), ADQ slightly below 5%, Greenies slightly below 4%.

[MaxQue]

23/188

PLQ 59
PQ 28
ADQ 5.07
PVQ 3.80

[Hash]

60
28.3
5.1
3.6
2.5
0.6