Zogby Interactive: This is officially the funniest sh**t ever.
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  Zogby Interactive: This is officially the funniest sh**t ever.
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Author Topic: Zogby Interactive: This is officially the funniest sh**t ever.  (Read 4535 times)
Alcon
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« on: July 08, 2008, 07:11:29 PM »

http://www.zogby.com/50state/



Highlights:

- Obama +9 in North Carolina
- Obama leads in South Carolina, Arkansas, Texas
- Obama up 16 in New Mexico
- Obama leads in Arizona
- Serious Barrmentum
- Iowa: Safe McCain
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2008, 07:14:05 PM »

I think Iowa is miscoded in the map because the poll data show a small lead for Obama.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2008, 07:17:14 PM »

LOL!
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: July 08, 2008, 07:57:56 PM »

Additional nugget from New Mexico:

"Barr beats McCain among Independents."
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Verily
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« Reply #4 on: July 08, 2008, 08:02:44 PM »

The colors make no sense. Iowa is blue and has Obama up by four, but North Carolina is purple and has him ahead by nine.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #5 on: July 08, 2008, 08:08:28 PM »

The Literary Digest poll is back! 
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #6 on: July 08, 2008, 08:33:00 PM »



Given "purple" states to candidate leading; while MT, ND and NV are "too close to call"

Dave
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #7 on: July 08, 2008, 08:35:41 PM »

Whatever else Grin, Zogby seems to be reporting identity politics. Age-based identity politics with McCain leading among seniors possibly everywhere!

Young voters ain't giving Obama a bounce in Kentucky; he trails McCain, 44 to 39

Dave
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Platypus
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« Reply #8 on: July 08, 2008, 08:38:58 PM »

South Carolina?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #9 on: July 08, 2008, 08:41:43 PM »
« Edited: July 08, 2008, 08:51:43 PM by Ronnie »

LOL @ Arizona

Oh, and Obama leading McCain by 16 in New Mexico?  I think I'm going to sh*t my pants.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #10 on: July 08, 2008, 08:43:11 PM »

My favorites:

Nevada:

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Arizona:
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Oklahoma's now a swing state!  (Or Zogby should get out of the polling business)  Also, neither Barr nor Nader nor "someone else" will be on the ballot there.

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Hit the presses, Obama landslide in Michigan, take it out of the swing column!  (Or, ignore Zogby)

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Dead even, eh?

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Arkansas dead even?

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Barrmentum!

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HuhHuh

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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #11 on: July 08, 2008, 08:46:31 PM »


Yep. According to Zogby, it's Obama 42; McCain 41

As for maps, it gets better:



Obama 268 (leads by 6% or more)
McCain 73 (leads by 6% or more)
Toss-up 197 (leads within 5% either way)

Dave
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Hash
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« Reply #12 on: July 08, 2008, 08:47:29 PM »

Oh my god, this has got to be the funniest ever.

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Online polls are the best.

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The Mikado
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« Reply #13 on: July 08, 2008, 08:48:37 PM »

I'm telling you people, Vermont is the funny one.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #14 on: July 08, 2008, 08:54:19 PM »

Can Zogby start these in Canada?

"Liberals lead big in Alberta"

"Conservatives leading the GTA"

"NDP at 35% in Quebec"

"Liberals in trouble in PEI"

"60% of Quebecois say Dion has charisma"

"Close race between Conservatives, Marijuana in Nunavut"

Or maybe France:

"Sarkozy leads big in Haute-Garonne"

"Le Pen polling 20% in Cantal"

"Royal leads in Alpes-Maritimes and Var"

"Sarkozy trails Royal in Neuilly, western Paris"

Or the UK:

"Conservatives set to landslide Wales"

"Conservatives trail badly in Cities of London and Westminster"

"Tories winning the Northeast"

"Labour winning southern England"

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The Mikado
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« Reply #15 on: July 08, 2008, 09:07:12 PM »


Or the UK:

"Conservatives set to landslide Wales"

"Conservatives trail badly in Cities of London and Westminster"

"Tories winning the Northeast"

"Labour winning southern England"



You forgot "Labour, Conservatives tied in Northern Ireland."
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #16 on: July 08, 2008, 09:21:02 PM »

These polls to show the trend in the states, or at least the computer using people in the state.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #17 on: July 08, 2008, 09:36:17 PM »

Hey, why not?

I guess the Freepers are not that big into supporting McCain.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #18 on: July 08, 2008, 09:40:09 PM »

Well, looks like we should hand it to Josh about NC and Jamespol about OK
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #19 on: July 08, 2008, 09:40:50 PM »

http://www.zogby.com/50state/



Highlights:

- Obama +9 in North Carolina
- Obama leads in South Carolina, Arkansas, Texas
- Obama up 16 in New Mexico
- Obama leads in Arizona
- Serious Barrmentum
- Iowa: Safe McCain

First, if you look at the map, and read the data, Obama leads in Iowa (its NOT "Safe McCain" as you assert).  

Second, Zogby has spent years developing both techniques and data base for his interactive method, which given the problems with current polling, may be the future of survey research.
While he had absurd results in 2004. his current results are vastly improved.

Third, from other unpublished surveys I have seen, I suspect that the "undecided" category is likely to break favorably for McCain.

Fourth, his numbers for Nader seem to be right on the money (several published polls have, IMHO, greatly exaggerated the Nader vote).

Fifth, what most public polls are missing is the massive disgust with McCain (which shows up in the Zogby interactive poll as support for Barr).


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Verily
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« Reply #20 on: July 08, 2008, 09:46:55 PM »


Or the UK:

"Conservatives set to landslide Wales"

"Conservatives trail badly in Cities of London and Westminster"

"Tories winning the Northeast"

"Labour winning southern England"



You forgot "Labour, Conservatives tied in Northern Ireland."

Well, they are.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #21 on: July 08, 2008, 09:51:25 PM »

I knew this thread could provide at least one comedy goldmine post if it was left up for long enough.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2008, 10:03:07 PM »

Well, looks like we should hand it to Josh about NC and Jamespol about OK

True.  Who would've thought Obama would be doing better in NC than in VA?

BTW, they still haven't fixed VT.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #23 on: July 08, 2008, 11:55:53 PM »

Ahahahahaha. Crazy stuff. And now we have to go through this every month.

But why the hell didn't they poll the crucial swing states of Alaska, Kansas, Mississippi, Montana and North Dakota ? Roll Eyes
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War on Want
Evilmexicandictator
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« Reply #24 on: July 08, 2008, 11:56:50 PM »

lolz I enjoyed this. It could have been worse actually...
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