GA-InsiderAdvantage: McCain only slightly ahead of Obama

[Tender Branson]

Q. 1 Georgia Presidential ballot:

McCain: 46%
Obama: 44%
Barr: 4%
Undecided: 6%

Q. 2 “If Barack Obama selected Georgia’s former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn as his Vice Presidential running mate, would you be more or less likely to vote for Barack Obama?”

More likely: 51%
Less likely: 11%
No difference/Undecided: 38%

...

The poll was conducted statewide on Tuesday among 502 registered Georgia voters like to vote in November. It was weighted for age, race, gender and political affiliation. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.3 percent.

Link

[Lief 🗽]

Well, I trust Rasmussen more than I do Insider Advantage.

Those numbers for Sam Nunn are super high though. Is 15 EV worth all the other drawbacks of choosing Nunn? Probably not.

[Aizen]

Insider Advantage? More like Insider Suckvantage!

[Eraserhead]

I'm convinced they have no idea what's going on in GA. Sam Nunn? Nobody in GA gives a rat's ass about him anymore, I'm sure.

[Brittain33]

Q. 1 Georgia Presidential ballot:

McCain: 46%
Obama: 44%
Barr: 4%
Undecided: 6%

Q. 2 “If Barack Obama selected Georgia’s former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn as his Vice Presidential running mate, would you be more or less likely to vote for Barack Obama?”

More likely: 51%
Less likely: 11%
No difference/Undecided: 38%

Cool, so Obama/Nunn would take 86% of the vote in Georgia!

[Democratic Hawk]

I'm convinced they have no idea what's going on in GA. Sam Nunn? Nobody in GA gives a rat's ass about him anymore, I'm sure.

Apparently, Nunn is Jimmy Carter's favored choice to be Obama's VP pick

Dave

[WalterMitty]

I'm convinced they have no idea what's going on in GA. Sam Nunn? Nobody in GA gives a rat's ass about him anymore, I'm sure.

Apparently, Nunn is Jimmy Carter's favored choice to be Obama's VP pick

Dave

obama should stay faaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaar away from any jimmy carter suggestion.

[Ronnie]

I seriously doubt that a state like Georgia could be this close.  Right now, I'm going to put Georgia at R+11 in comparison to the national average.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=1320080702034

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The state polls continue to be extremely encouraging for Barack. 

Georgia is not growing in the same way NC and VA are.  The ultra-conservative Atlanta suburbs are booming, while the rest of the state is staying at least SOMEWHAT static, yet we still see Georgia polling under 10%.  Bush annihilated Kerry here in 2004, driving up numbers among white voters that rivaled the split in MS.  Conventional wisdom would say that this state should be very, very solidly Republican. 

Let's say we throw this one away to a degree and just go with a poll average.  If Obama loses Georgia by only 6-7%.... this election is an absolute blowout.  McCain better start shaking things up. 

[DownWithTheLeft]

Georgia is probably somewhere between the 45-50th state that could fall to Obama

[DownWithTheLeft]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=709.0

LOL, I guess some things never change

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=709.0

LOL, I guess some things never change

Of course, there's no difference between a February poll that pits a generic Dem against Bush and a July one where the candidates are established. 

[DownWithTheLeft]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=709.0

LOL, I guess some things never change

Of course, there's no difference between a February poll that pits a generic Dem against Bush and a July one where the candidates are established. 

Your right, February polls are probably more credible.  Bush's lead in the polls nearly 10% in from July until October.  While polls in July showed him winning by about 11%, he won the state by 16%