NM: Rasmussen: Obama ahead of McCain by 8%
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 31, 2024, 02:46:24 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NM: Rasmussen: Obama ahead of McCain by 8% 		« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NM: Rasmussen: Obama ahead of McCain by 8%  (Read 1092 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 23, 2008, 11:07:53 AM »
« edited: June 23, 2008, 11:14:20 AM by Josh22 »
New Poll: New Mexico President by Rasmussen on 2008-06-23

Summary: D: 47%, R: 39%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Aizen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,510


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -9.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 23, 2008, 11:38:25 AM »
Nice
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,869


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 23, 2008, 11:44:54 AM »
And that's why I've been wanting a NM poll.

(Of course, it'll be significantly closer than that...)
Logged
emailking
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,868
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 23, 2008, 12:01:49 PM »
Quote from: John Wellington Wells on June 23, 2008, 11:44:54 AM
And that's why I've been wanting a NM poll.

(Of course, it'll be significantly closer than that...)

So what's the point of wanting a poll if you're just going to assume the final result will be within the MOE of any poll?
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 23, 2008, 12:24:25 PM »
Good to see, although it's probably off.
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 23, 2008, 12:25:30 PM »
I think it'll be a little tighter than this, but I think it's pretty accurate as to where the state is right now. 
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 23, 2008, 12:33:14 PM »
That's a much higher margin than expected.

I thought this state would be good for McCain, but unless he makes some inroads among Hispanics, he'll have a very difficult time winning New Mexico.
Logged
bullmoose88
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,515


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 23, 2008, 12:34:32 PM »
Quote from: True Democrat on June 23, 2008, 12:33:14 PM
That's a much higher margin than expected.

I thought this state would be good for McCain, but unless he makes some inroads among Hispanics, he'll have a very difficult time winning New Mexico.

True...but Obama's up what on McCain nationally?

I'd, barring some sort of McCain dysfunction or collapse, expect the national margin to close by september and the margin here along with it.

But Obama is still the odds on winner in NM.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,015


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 23, 2008, 01:51:07 PM »
Er... this margin makes perfect sense. If Obama is currently ahead by about 5 points, and NM is a little more Democratic than the national average, 8% makes sense.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 23, 2008, 02:02:24 PM »
Obama actually is -1 from Rassy's last poll.  This is a state that Scott disagrees with SUSA on.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 23, 2008, 02:57:50 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on June 23, 2008, 02:02:24 PM
Obama actually is -1 from Rassy's last poll.  This is a state that Scott disagrees with SUSA on.

It's New Mexico - just toss some numbers in the random generator and you're probably more likely to get the correct result.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 23, 2008, 02:59:10 PM »
Quote from: Lt. Gov. Lief on June 23, 2008, 01:51:07 PM
Er... this margin makes perfect sense. If Obama is currently ahead by about 5 points, and NM is a little more Democratic than the national average, 8% makes sense.
get a new avatar, or stop posting about polls. It's damn confusing.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 23, 2008, 03:00:44 PM »
Quote from: the Red Star and the Sunflower on June 23, 2008, 02:59:10 PM
Quote from: Lt. Gov. Lief on June 23, 2008, 01:51:07 PM
Er... this margin makes perfect sense. If Obama is currently ahead by about 5 points, and NM is a little more Democratic than the national average, 8% makes sense.
get a new avatar, or stop posting about polls. It's damn confusing.

I really don't make posts like that.  Besides, the correct answer is more like 4 points.  Tongue
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.035 seconds with 13 queries.