NJ: Rasmussen: Obama leads by 9% in New Jersey
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Author Topic: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama leads by 9% in New Jersey  (Read 1577 times)
Alcon
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« on: June 09, 2008, 04:02:07 PM »
New Poll: New Jersey President by Rasmussen on 2008-06-05

Summary: D: 48%, R: 39%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Last poll 3/27 (ages ago)

Obama 48% (+3)
McCain 39% (-7)
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2008, 04:38:01 PM »
Good news. I don't think McCain will waste time and money in New Jersey. It's not worth his time given the uphill battle he faces. I suppose he could spend money here, but I'd advise him not too.
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BRTD
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« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2008, 04:38:38 PM »
Quote from: NJChris on June 09, 2008, 04:38:01 PM
Good news. I don't think McCain will waste time and money in New Jersey. It's not worth his time given the uphill battle he faces. I suppose he could spend money here, but I'd advise him not too.

No, he should spend money in NJ. We should hope he spends a lot. Smiley
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benconstine
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« Reply #3 on: June 09, 2008, 04:38:40 PM »
This is probably the margin Obama wins by.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2008, 04:39:27 PM »
Quote from: The Water vs. The Anchor on June 09, 2008, 04:38:38 PM
Quote from: NJChris on June 09, 2008, 04:38:01 PM
Good news. I don't think McCain will waste time and money in New Jersey. It's not worth his time given the uphill battle he faces. I suppose he could spend money here, but I'd advise him not too.

No, he should spend money in NJ. We should hope he spends a lot. Smiley

He's spending money in the Philly media market which covers South Jersey so it's not really a waste.
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Verily
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« Reply #5 on: June 09, 2008, 04:40:14 PM »
Quote from: benconstine on June 09, 2008, 04:38:40 PM
This is probably the margin Obama wins by.

Or close to it. I'll say 11 points just because the undecideds always break to the Democrat here. Although that might not be true with such low Republican numbers to begin with.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2008, 04:41:46 PM »
Well, to counter argue, if Obama is up 6% in the latest national poll, NJ is only DEM +3. By some of your arguments for SC and others, if McCain wins by 3% nationally, NJ could flip....

Just saying ..
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #7 on: June 09, 2008, 04:42:17 PM »
Quote from: The Water vs. The Anchor on June 09, 2008, 04:38:38 PM
Quote from: NJChris on June 09, 2008, 04:38:01 PM
Good news. I don't think McCain will waste time and money in New Jersey. It's not worth his time given the uphill battle he faces. I suppose he could spend money here, but I'd advise him not too.

No, he should spend money in NJ. We should hope he spends a lot. Smiley

He'd break the bank in NJ if I was in charge. Wink
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Boris
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« Reply #8 on: June 09, 2008, 05:16:56 PM »
I don't think an 8 point win nationally for Obama would translate into a 9 point NJ win but whatever...
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #9 on: June 09, 2008, 07:32:34 PM »
Quote from: Boris on June 09, 2008, 05:16:56 PM
I don't think an 8 point win nationally for Obama would translate into a 9 point NJ win but whatever...

a vast majority of the undecideds would/will break Obama.  NJ Dems always have cold feet during the summer.  such is life, bro.
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Beet
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« Reply #10 on: June 09, 2008, 08:13:22 PM »
Quote from: NJChris on June 09, 2008, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: The Water vs. The Anchor on June 09, 2008, 04:38:38 PM
Quote from: NJChris on June 09, 2008, 04:38:01 PM
Good news. I don't think McCain will waste time and money in New Jersey. It's not worth his time given the uphill battle he faces. I suppose he could spend money here, but I'd advise him not too.

No, he should spend money in NJ. We should hope he spends a lot. Smiley

He'd break the bank in NJ if I was in charge. Wink

"Watch out for California." - Rick Davis
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: June 09, 2008, 08:34:52 PM »
Obama will win NJ by double digits.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2008, 12:06:45 PM »
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on June 09, 2008, 07:32:34 PM
Quote from: Boris on June 09, 2008, 05:16:56 PM
I don't think an 8 point win nationally for Obama would translate into a 9 point NJ win but whatever...

a vast majority of the undecideds would/will break Obama.  NJ Dems always have cold feet during the summer.  such is life, bro.

I'm not sure if that's the case this time.  This poll seems to have been run concurrently with the poll showing Zimmer behind Lautenberg by 1.

I'm guessing that New Jersey Democrats are solidly behind Obama, but not solidly behind Lautenberg (yet).  I wouldn't expect Obama's numbers to swell in New Jersey too far beyond what they already are here.

Of course, since we can only see the toplines, who knows for sure.........
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2008, 04:11:00 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate, SoFA on June 10, 2008, 12:06:45 PM
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on June 09, 2008, 07:32:34 PM
Quote from: Boris on June 09, 2008, 05:16:56 PM
I don't think an 8 point win nationally for Obama would translate into a 9 point NJ win but whatever...

a vast majority of the undecideds would/will break Obama.  NJ Dems always have cold feet during the summer.  such is life, bro.

I'm not sure if that's the case this time.  This poll seems to have been run concurrently with the poll showing Zimmer behind Lautenberg by 1.

I'm guessing that New Jersey Democrats are solidly behind Obama, but not solidly behind Lautenberg (yet).  I wouldn't expect Obama's numbers to swell in New Jersey too far beyond what they already are here.

Of course, since we can only see the toplines, who knows for sure.........

The Presidential race will be 55-43 Obama. 

The Senate race will be 54-44 Lautenberg. 
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