Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[Reds4]

As a McCain supporter I don't put too much stock in any slight gains he is seeing right now.. If the race has tightened to 3 or 4 nationally by next week at this time though it would be different.. for now... noise..

[J. J.]

October 16, 2008

RV
Obama 49 (-1)
McCain 43 (nc)

LV (new voter formula)
Obama 51 (-1)
McCain 45 (+1)

LV (traditional)
Obama 49 (nc)
McCain 47 (+1)

great, now opebo, J.J., and Keystone Phil will be seen as oracles.

"What we do we do rationally
We never ever go off half-cocked, not we
Why begin till we know that we can win
And if we cannot win why bother to begin?

We say this game's not of our choosing
Why should we risk losing?
All:
We are cool

To the right, ever to the right
Never to the left, forever to the right
We have gold, a market that will hold
Tradition that is old, a reluctance to be bold.

I sing hosanna, hosanna
In a sane and lucid manner
We are cool"

Cool Cool Considerate Men . 1776, 1969 

My guess is that Obama is up by 3-4 points.  Any effects of the markets and of the debate will not show up until Saturday.

[Eraserhead]

I'll take it that Obama is up by 4 nationally.

Where are you getting 4 from?

[J. J.]

I'll take it that Obama is up by 4 nationally.

Where are you getting 4 from?

On this poll:

LV (new voter formula)
Obama 51 (-1)
McCain 45 (+1)

+6 Obama

LV (traditional)
Obama 49 (nc)
McCain 47 (+1)

+2 Obama

The 'bots say +4.

[Eraserhead]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

Why do left wingers visit that hack's site?

[J. J.]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

He's right only if you cherry pick data. Typical Drudge.

[Eraserhead]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

McCain moving up a point from yesterday is a ''shock poll''?

[Sam Spade]

Drudge is quite predictable sometimes.

[Lunar]

Palin changed Drudge's mood on the race, he decided to do everything he could to boost the GOP ticket after she was picked..

[J. J.]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

McCain moving up a point from yesterday is a ''shock poll''?

The likely voter one is.  I think the real story is the closing across polls.

[Sam Spade]

Palin changed Drudge's mood on the race, he decided to do everything he could to boost the GOP ticket after she was picked..

Must be in love.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I saw that. I'm finished trying to guess this race. I'll just wait till the votes come in.

[??????????]

I saw that. I'm finished trying to guess this race. I'll just wait till the votes come in.

Obama probably peaked last week. The race is back on now, even Obama is worried. He told his supporters at a New York fundraiser not to let down their guard and keep fighting. That alone proves that even Obama knows his victory isn't certain.

Prevent Defense sucks.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Well I'm not sold on an Obama victory just yet. McCain seems to have done better in the debate lady night, especially if ChrisNJ admits it. The state polls still don't matchup, but I know they always lag behind the national ones.

[Ty440]

I saw that. I'm finished trying to guess this race. I'll just wait till the votes come in.

Obama probably peaked last week. The race is back on now, even Obama is worried. He told his supporters at a New York fundraiser not to let down their guard and keep fighting. That alone proves that even Obama knows his victory isn't certain.

Prevent Defense sucks.

As long as no da*n extenal events happen, and the DOW  stablilizes. Ladies and gentlemen we will have a toss-up race by the middle of next week.

[Eraserhead]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

McCain moving up a point from yesterday is a ''shock poll''?

The likely voter one is.  I think the real story is the closing across polls.

Movement of a point in Gallup or Rasmussen is not shocking. Now if McCain actually took the lead back in either of these polls, that would be pretty surprising.

[Eraserhead]

Well I'm not sold on an Obama victory just yet. McCain seems to have done better in the debate lady night, especially if ChrisNJ admits it. The state polls still don't matchup, but I know they always lag behind the national ones.

ChrisfromNJ didn't even watch the debate.

[J. J.]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

McCain moving up a point from yesterday is a ''shock poll''?

The likely voter one is.  I think the real story is the closing across polls.

Movement of a point in Gallup or Rasmussen is not shocking. Now if McCain actually took the lead back in either of these polls, that would be pretty surprising.

An 11 point to 2 point difference in a week is "shocking" unless you are one of us and follow the polls closely.

[Eraserhead]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

McCain moving up a point from yesterday is a ''shock poll''?

The likely voter one is.  I think the real story is the closing across polls.

Movement of a point in Gallup or Rasmussen is not shocking. Now if McCain actually took the lead back in either of these polls, that would be pretty surprising.

An 11 point to 2 point difference in a week is "shocking" unless you are one of us and follow the polls closely.

Well, it didn't go from 11 to 2. Those are different polls. People who can't understand that should be called out for being dumbs.

[Democratic Hawk]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

McCain moving up a point from yesterday is a ''shock poll''?

The likely voter one is.  I think the real story is the closing across polls.

Movement of a point in Gallup or Rasmussen is not shocking. Now if McCain actually took the lead back in either of these polls, that would be pretty surprising.

An 11 point to 2 point difference in a week is "shocking" unless you are one of us and follow the polls closely.

That 11-point difference is now a 6-point difference, J. J. Registered voters remember

Dave

[J. J.]

Drudge has the headline "SHOCK POLL: OBAMA 49 McCAIN 47"

Oh Drudge... lol.

He's right, so far as he goes.  LOL.

McCain moving up a point from yesterday is a ''shock poll''?

The likely voter one is.  I think the real story is the closing across polls.

Movement of a point in Gallup or Rasmussen is not shocking. Now if McCain actually took the lead back in either of these polls, that would be pretty surprising.

An 11 point to 2 point difference in a week is "shocking" unless you are one of us and follow the polls closely.

That 11-point difference is now a 6-point difference, J. J. Registered voters remember

Dave

Like I said, "unless you are one of us and follow the polls closely."  You know that there is a difference, but it is very likely that most people won't.

In reality that 11 point lead was just a bad sample, in all probability and Obama hasn't really "dropped" by 6 points, much less 9.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Like I said, "unless you are one of us and follow the polls closely."  You know that there is a difference, but it is very likely that most people won't.

You're being intellectually dishonest. YOU know the difference.

[Wall St. Wiz]

I'm not getting my hopes up.  When the 700 point Dow slide and the debate make their way into the polls tomorrow, I expect Obama to get a 2 point bounce tomorrow.