Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[Person Man]

I am feeling better at this, between McCain's frivilous attacks and the fact that Palin's defense brings up more questions than answers.

[Eraserhead]

McCain's favorables are coming back down to earth.

[Keystone Phil]

I can't wait until we get the poll out of ND.

[riceowl]

I can't wait until we get the poll out of ND.

i imagine youre expecting a substantial mccain bump?

[Tender Branson]

I can't wait until we get the poll out of ND.

i imagine youre expecting a substantial mccain bump?

I expect something like 54-41.

More interesting will be the NM poll ...

[Keystone Phil]

I can't wait until we get the poll out of ND.

i imagine youre expecting a substantial mccain bump?

I'm expecting the Obama hacks to wake up from the fantasy that they have a serious shot there.

[Brittain33]

Obama has in the high single digits of campaign offices in N.D., while McCain has none.

I make no pretense that that will swing enough voters to overcome a 14-point gap in a state that always votes Republican, but it's interesting nonetheless. We're going to see what happens when a campaign works a state it should have close to no hope to winning.

[Keystone Phil]

Obama has in the high single digits of campaign offices in N.D., while McCain has none.

I make no pretense that that will swing enough voters to overcome a 14-point gap in a state that always votes Republican, but it's interesting nonetheless. We're going to see what happens when a campaign works a state it should have close to no hope to winning.

Ok so the only argument there is that Obama is being foolish and McCain is being smart? Ok.

[Brittain33]

Obama has in the high single digits of campaign offices in N.D., while McCain has none.

I make no pretense that that will swing enough voters to overcome a 14-point gap in a state that always votes Republican, but it's interesting nonetheless. We're going to see what happens when a campaign works a state it should have close to no hope to winning.

Ok so the only argument there is that Obama is being foolish and McCain is being smart? Ok.

I'm not making any argument at all. I have no idea what the opportunity cost of what he's invested in N.D. is, and to what extent it was committed before the race evened up. It's not as if office space in Jamestown, N.D. is going to eat up a significant chunk of change, and he must have an organization left over from the caucuses.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Obama has in the high single digits of campaign offices in N.D., while McCain has none.

I make no pretense that that will swing enough voters to overcome a 14-point gap in a state that always votes Republican, but it's interesting nonetheless. We're going to see what happens when a campaign works a state it should have close to no hope to winning.

ND was never going to a deciding factor, even if Obama won it with 52% of the national vote.  Time to close up shop and move the operation to Minn/Wisc/Iowa

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Obama has in the high single digits of campaign offices in N.D., while McCain has none.

I make no pretense that that will swing enough voters to overcome a 14-point gap in a state that always votes Republican, but it's interesting nonetheless. We're going to see what happens when a campaign works a state it should have close to no hope to winning.

ND was never going to a deciding factor, even if Obama won it with 52% of the national vote.  Time to close up shop and move the operation to Minn/Wisc/Iowa

Why? Obama's going to easily win all those.

[CPT MikeyMike]

Thursday - September 11, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 48%, including leaners (nc, nc)
McCain: 46% / 48%, including leaners (nc, +1)

Favorability

McCain: 56% favorable, 43% unfavorable (-1, +1)
Obama: 55% favorable, 43% unfavorable (nc, nc)

Tonight, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern, new polling will be released for Michigan, Idaho, and Wyoming. The latest update of the Generic Congressional Ballot will be released at 3:00 p.m. Eastern.

Yesterday, for the first time ever, Rasmussen Markets data gave McCain a better than 50% chance of winning the White House in November. These figures are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants and currently give Obama a 49.0% chance of victory. Prior to this past weekend, expectations for a Democratic victory had generally been in the 60% range.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

[KeyKeeper]

Doesn't Sen. Obama and Sen. McCain have a forum tonight or something together?

[CPT MikeyMike]

Right now, it is a tie.

Thursday - September 11, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 48%, including leaners (nc, nc)
McCain: 46% / 48%, including leaners (nc, +1)

Thank you for the clarification J.J.

[Iosif]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

Mensa are so lucky to have you as a memeber.

[elcorazon]

I just literally LOL'ed

[J. J.]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

Mensa are so lucky to have you as a memeber.

Yes, and very fortunately, you cannot get it.

[J. J.]

Right now, it is a tie.

Thursday - September 11, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 48%, including leaners (nc, nc)
McCain: 46% / 48%, including leaners (nc, +1)

Thank you for the clarification J.J.

There is something more important.  We see, generally, a lot of things that push Gallup around.  We don't see that with the 'bots.  The may be a general error in Rasmussen, but it's constant.  If we could figure what, if anything, the general error is, we might be able to get a better result.

[Person Man]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

Mensa are so lucky to have you as a memeber.

Yes, and very fortunately, you cannot get it.

You mean, he "cannot get in"?

[Gustaf]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

Mensa are so lucky to have you as a memeber.

Yes, and very fortunately, you cannot get it.

You mean, he "cannot get in"?

"it" could theoretically refer to Mensa membership. But you're not really in a position to call out people on making sense in their posting.

[Sam Spade]

Yesterday's sample was around a push, most likely, slightly better than the slightly Obama sample that pushed off.  Tomorrow another slightly Obama goes off - if we have another push, McCain will probably gain a point, and so on and so forth.

[Tender Branson]

Tonight, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern, new polling will be released for Idaho and Wyoming.

[Zarn]

Raz likes to poll all the states. I don't see a problem with that.

It's not like he isn't polling Michigan, too.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

Mensa are so lucky to have you as a memeber.

Yes, and very fortunately, you cannot get it.

You mean, he "cannot get in"?

No, double meaning.

Please, Gustav, he's helping to illustrate a point.