Official South Dakota and Montana Democratic Primary Results Discussion Thread

[Хahar 🤔]

If SD is close, then MT will still put Obama over the top because it will be called first

Sweet Sweet Montana... Is there anything that state can't do?

Vote Gore or Kerry?

[Democratic Hawk]

SD, right now, is looking good for Clinton who is winning her core demographics; while signs are in MT than Obama is winning his but making inroads into some of Clinton's

Any one know if seniors and more down-scale voters are more likely to vote earlier in the day than younger and more up-scale voters because right now, it looks like SD demographically favors Clinton but if the demographic composition of the voters were to shift, however, could Obama eek out a small win?

Dave

[Alcon]

Younger voters might be slightly more likely to vote later, but I'm really unconvinced of that phenomenon being a big deal.

[Alcon]

Poblano (again) does my work for me:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/06/exit-poll-teaser.html

[Joe Biden 2020]

Obama will clinch the nomination with South Dakota.  He just needs 7 delegates now.

[Alcon]

Fox has leaked the sex numbers in South Dakota.  Clinton is leading the exit poll by 9-10 points.

[Eraserhead]

Obama will clinch the nomination with South Dakota.  He just needs 7 delegates now.

Great, he'll clinch the nomination by losing a state.

[Meeker]

[Eraserhead]

South Dakota is going to look very ugly on the primary map.

[Franzl]

Intrade has Clinton at 91% in South Dakota

and Obama at 95% in Montana

[Meeker]

Is Norah O'Donnell pregnant?

[Meeker]

68% of Clinton voters in South Dakota said she should be given the VP slot. Alcon said that needed to be 70% to break even

[Хahar 🤔]

South Dakota is going to look very ugly on the primary map.

Yeesh, you're right.

[Democratic Hawk]

South Dakota is going to look very ugly on the primary map.

Like a botched boob job

[Mr. Morden]

Fox has leaked the sex numbers in South Dakota.  Clinton is leading the exit poll by 9-10 points.

The sex numbers, lol.  MSNBC f'ed up and did the exact same thing with the CA recall election in '03.  They gave the breakdown for men and women, which obviously gives you the total.

[Alcon]

Fox has leaked the sex numbers in South Dakota.  Clinton is leading the exit poll by 9-10 points.

The sex numbers, lol.  MSNBC f'ed up and did the exact same thing with the CA recall election in '03.  They gave the breakdown for men and women, which obviously gives you the total.

Sorry, but until nouns vote, "gender" is a grammatical pet peeve

[J. J.]

Fox has leaked the sex numbers in South Dakota.  Clinton is leading the exit poll by 9-10 points.

White problem?

[Meeker]

Fox has leaked the sex numbers in South Dakota.  Clinton is leading the exit poll by 9-10 points.

White problem?

If you believe that, the voters of Oregon, Vermont, Connecticut, Wisconsin and Utah would like to have a word with you.

[Alcon]

White problem?

Not especially.  Clinton barnstormed heavily.  Both of them have very high "honest and trustworthys" in SD, but Obama's are higher.

It's not surprising at all considering South Dakota's moderate, WASPy, rather un-racist electorate.

[Joe Biden 2020]

CNN is down to 6 delegates!!!

[Alcon]

Sioux problem. They don't like Crow in a hatred much stronger than any racial tensions, and Obama is now Crow.

We'll see, but Obama did get the endorsement of Sioux tribal leaders and North Dakota Sioux rather liked him.  Of course, that doesn't mean he won't be crushed in Shannon County but I doubt it will be on animosity against the Crow.

[Eraserhead]

Fox has leaked the sex numbers in South Dakota.  Clinton is leading the exit poll by 9-10 points.

White problem?

He's winning MT, so it's probably more of a South Dakota problem.

[Verily]

Sioux problem. They don't like Crow in a hatred much stronger than any racial tensions, and Obama is now Crow.

We'll see, but Obama did get the endorsement of Sioux tribal leaders and North Dakota Sioux rather liked him.  Of course, that doesn't mean he won't be crushed in Shannon County but I doubt it will be on animosity against the Crow.

Possibly not; I deleted my post later as I decided it was early to be calling it that. But those are my suspicions. North Dakota was well before Obama became an honorary Crow.

[Mr. Morden]

Fox News Channel says the exits have Obama winning 61% of men and 50% of women in Montana.

The bottom left hand corner of the screen on FNC is nonstop exit poll info.

[Democratic Hawk]

Fox has leaked the sex numbers in South Dakota.  Clinton is leading the exit poll by 9-10 points.

White problem?

Class problem. Perhaps more lower-scale, lower educated voters in SD, who favor Clinton, than up-scale, higher educated voters, who favor Obama

Dave