Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle

[lfromnj]

Dave Reichert considering a gubernatorial bid:

https://q13fox.com/2019/08/30/dave-reichert-considering-run-for-washington-governor-in-2020/

He likely would've lost his own Clinton +3 district last year, so it's hard to see him winning statewide. On the other hand, WA is a lot more friendly to Republicans on the gubernatorial level. On the other other hand, he'll be sharing the ballot with Trump.

I could see him reaching McKenna levels I guess, but probably not. Unless Inslee damaged himself with the botched presidential run, last time I checked his approvals were pretty decent.

Republicans literally haven't won a gubernatorial election in Washington in 40 years. Reichert is DOA.

#ROSSIWON
#STOLENELECTION

[lfromnj]

 I'm intrigued that the affirmative action referendum is so close. I would have thought the pro side would be ahead fairly comfortably.

Thank god Washington is semi-sane, a lot of these polls that show affirmative action is popular is just as bullsh**t as those 70% assault weapon bans and other polls. When it comes to the polls a lot of these things don't go the way a party wants. This also works for stuff like Voter ID. An Active partisan campaign can shift anything.

It is sad though that this ballot measure will likely pass due to King county dumps(Not saying their votes shouldn't be counted)

[lfromnj]

Final update before the long weekend:

R-88 (Affirmative action)
Reject: 50.28%
Approve: 49.72%

Approve could still win win out here, right?

It's technically possible, but they're only estimating another 6,300 ballots left to count in King county, so unless they're lowballing it, it's definitely more likely than not to fail, at this point.

Wonderful news! The rest of Washington may just have enough power to save Seattle from its #wokeness.

[lfromnj]

Final update before the long weekend:

R-88 (Affirmative action)
Reject: 50.28%
Approve: 49.72%

Approve could still win win out here, right?

It's technically possible, but they're only estimating another 6,300 ballots left to count in King county, so unless they're lowballing it, it's definitely more likely than not to fail, at this point.

Wonderful news! The rest of Washington may just have enough power to save Seattle from its #wokeness.

Affirmative action existed as a concept way before "wokeness"  did.

Sadly, though, most discussions about it are just as *nuanced* as discussions about "wokeness."

Not much need for nuance when the state is doing discrimination based on race or other factors.

[lfromnj]

Final update before the long weekend:

R-88 (Affirmative action)
Reject: 50.28%
Approve: 49.72%

Approve could still win win out here, right?

It's technically possible, but they're only estimating another 6,300 ballots left to count in King county, so unless they're lowballing it, it's definitely more likely than not to fail, at this point.

Wonderful news! The rest of Washington may just have enough power to save Seattle from its #wokeness.

Affirmative action existed as a concept way before "wokeness"  did.

Sadly, though, most discussions about it are just as *nuanced* as discussions about "wokeness."

Not much need for nuance when the state is doing discrimination based on race or other factors.

You realize that you're proving my point, right? And I have mixed feelings about affirmative action.

Giving nuance to the argument if we should do race or gender based affirmative action is almost as bad as giving nuance to the argument of if vaccinations are good. Just because there are two sides doesn't mean both sides are equal.

[lfromnj]

You also have to wonder whether the recent developments in Seattle have pushed the electorate to the right.  The left has truly created an abysmal political environment for themselves here.

There's nothing but bad news here, the city has truly gone off the deep end.  We've had CHAZ, defunding, rioting and looting, and the junkie/hoarder encampments crisis, all boosted and defended by the city.  We recently passed a major tax that is explicitly designed to destroy our tax base by forcing Amazon out of the city.  And there are other major economic mismanagement issues that don't get much attention, like two critical failing bridges (W Seattle and Magnolia) that the city refuses to take seriously.  The city is completely held hostage by activists, who generate unflattering news reports every day with their hostile tactics.

I am a hardcore Democrat and I would happily vote for any Republican at the municipal level right now.  I'm certainly not the only person feeling that way.  That doesn't mean I would vote for a Republican for governor or congress, but others may not make that distinction.

You voting for Kim Wyman this year?

[lfromnj]

Random question: How come jungle primary results in Washington tend to be good predictors of the general while those in California often aren't?

Washington is much more white, which means turnout closer is usally more equal between ED and primary day. Infact I think WA Primary can sometimes favor Democrats compared to GE day because college whites are the highest turnout group and in WA they overwhelmingly vote D.

[lfromnj]

LOL the new DA(City Attorney) of Seattle maybe someone who tweeted this
https://twitter.com/ntkallday/status/1298456807040413697

The incumbent DA is currently 3rd and the top 2 is this woman and a Republican.

[lfromnj]

What percent of the vote will Davison get in Broadmoor?

It was like 27% Trump and 67% Wyman. It also narrowly voted for Romney in 2012.

[lfromnj]

What percent of the vote will Davison get in Broadmoor?

It was like 27% Trump and 67% Wyman. It also narrowly voted for Romney in 2012.

She does even better than Wyman.

That much is obvious. The only question is how much

[lfromnj]

Xing how close would you place yourself to the median voter in Seattle ?

[lfromnj]

Xing how close would you place yourself to the median voter in Seattle ?

Hard to say, maybe I’m somewhat close to the median? There are definitely voters to my right here, especially on economic issues, but there are also a fair amount of very far left-wing people here (though it does sort of depend on how left and right are defined), and I’m sort of in this no man’s land between the more moderate Democrats and the hardcore socialists. Gun to my head, the median voter is a hair to my right on economic issues and a hair to my left on social issues.

Yeah I figured you would be pretty close to the median. Should be a decent sign for Davison but you are definitely super high info .

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/BrandiKruse/status/1455736267140841477