Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 07:23:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 167 168 169 170 171 [172] 173 174 175 176 177 ... 253
Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 851069 times)
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4275 on: December 01, 2012, 03:13:14 PM »
Quote from: Grad Students are the Worst on December 01, 2012, 03:10:48 PM
Quote from: Seattle on December 01, 2012, 02:10:10 PM
Did Montlake Park swing to Obama? I don't believe he got over 70% there in 2008. I think Skykomish also swung to Obama.

Sorry, Montlake Park?  Not sure what you mean.

Oops, I wrote that straight out of bed... Mountlake Terrace. lol.
Logged
Benj
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 979


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4276 on: December 01, 2012, 03:54:12 PM »
« Edited: December 01, 2012, 03:57:15 PM by Benj »
What's with the pair of anti-gay marriage, anti-marijuana precincts in Shoreline? They really stands out and are the only precincts I see in liberal suburban areas that were opposed to both.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4277 on: December 01, 2012, 03:59:47 PM »
Finkbeiner % in Seattle neighborhoods? Precinct map of Chopp v. Sawant? Please please please?
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4278 on: December 01, 2012, 04:04:11 PM »
Quote from: Meeker on December 01, 2012, 03:59:47 PM
Finkbeiner % in Seattle neighborhoods? Precinct map of Chopp v. Sawant? Please please please?

They'll be in my next round.
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4279 on: December 01, 2012, 04:26:17 PM »
Quote from: Seattle on December 01, 2012, 03:13:14 PM
Quote from: Grad Students are the Worst on December 01, 2012, 03:10:48 PM
Quote from: Seattle on December 01, 2012, 02:10:10 PM
Did Montlake Park swing to Obama? I don't believe he got over 70% there in 2008. I think Skykomish also swung to Obama.

Sorry, Montlake Park?  Not sure what you mean.

Oops, I wrote that straight out of bed... Mountlake Terrace. lol.

To answer my own questions, Mountlake Park went from 68.9% Obama to 70.12% Nice. Skykomish went from 66.4% to 69.81%.

Some othern immediate Seattle suburb notes:

Shorline's O percentage decreased by .1 or .2%. Lake Forest Park's fell by about 1%. Bainbridge Island's fell by 2.5%. Tukwila's rose by 2.3%.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4280 on: December 01, 2012, 04:40:43 PM »
Obama % v. Approve R-74 % (red areas were more Obama, blue more in favor of gay marriage):
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4281 on: December 01, 2012, 05:11:15 PM »
Obama % v. Yes on I-502 % (red areas were more Obama, blue more in favor of legalizing marijuana):
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4282 on: December 01, 2012, 05:40:37 PM »
Yes on I-502 (red) vs. Approve R-74 (blue):
Logged
CultureKing
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,249
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4283 on: December 01, 2012, 05:52:00 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on December 01, 2012, 04:40:43 PM
Obama % v. Approve R-74 % (red areas were more Obama, blue more in favor of gay marriage):



This map can be used to explain so very much about King county' political landscape/oddities. Beautiful. Thank you!
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4284 on: December 01, 2012, 06:05:51 PM »
« Edited: December 01, 2012, 06:16:09 PM by realisticidealist »
Quote from: Meeker on December 01, 2012, 03:59:47 PM
Finkbeiner % in Seattle neighborhoods? Precinct map of Chopp v. Sawant? Please please please?

Chopp v. Sawant:



Also, Finkbeiner won several precincts in Capitol Hill and elsewhere in Seattle. I'll have Lt. Governor maps up soon.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4285 on: December 01, 2012, 06:14:12 PM »
Quote from: Benj on December 01, 2012, 03:54:12 PM
What's with the pair of anti-gay marriage, anti-marijuana precincts in Shoreline? They really stands out and are the only precincts I see in liberal suburban areas that were opposed to both.

Christian retirement home.

Looks like Mountlake Terrace was 68.95%-29.11% in 2008 and 70.13%-27.28%.  Actually a notable swing there.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4286 on: December 01, 2012, 06:19:16 PM »
Lt. Governor:


Finkbeiner % in Seattle:
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4287 on: December 01, 2012, 06:44:01 PM »
Thanks as always, RI.

Looks like Finkbeiner broke 40% on Cap Hill.  Some big swings in that race -- Finkbeiner outperformed Romney by 37 percentage points on Cap Hill, 33 in Georgetown and the Central District, and 32 in Fremont.  Both Cap Hill and the Central District cast about eight times as many votes for Finkbeiner as for Romney.
Logged
Sbane
sbane
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,309


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4288 on: December 01, 2012, 07:27:21 PM »
Why did Finkbeiner do so well in King County? He didn't seem to do that well as compared to other Democrats in other parts of the state.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4289 on: December 01, 2012, 07:54:51 PM »
Quote from: Sbane on December 01, 2012, 07:27:21 PM
Why did Finkbeiner do so well in King County? He didn't seem to do that well as compared to other Democrats in other parts of the state.

He's more liberal on social issues (abortion, drug law, and arguably gay rights) than the incumbent Democrat.
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4290 on: December 01, 2012, 08:25:52 PM »
The Obama vs. R-74 map is a racial map. Not that it's surprising, but it's almost too perfect of a match...

Quote from: Sbane on December 01, 2012, 07:27:21 PM
Why did Finkbeiner do so well in King County? He didn't seem to do that well as compared to other Democrats in other parts of the state.

He was the only Republican endorsed by The Stranger.
Logged
Sbane
sbane
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,309


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4291 on: December 01, 2012, 09:52:02 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on December 01, 2012, 08:25:52 PM
The Obama vs. R-74 map is a racial map. Not that it's surprising, but it's almost too perfect of a match...

I don't think that is true of north King County. Which is why it was surprising to me...but if you look at maps of Snohomish and suburban Pierce county, it makes sense.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4292 on: December 03, 2012, 11:30:54 AM »
Statewide precinct map for President here: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=165333.msg3541557#msg3541557
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4293 on: December 04, 2012, 09:31:54 AM »
Any chance of King County maps for Governor and Senator? Smiley
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,780


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4294 on: December 04, 2012, 11:30:01 PM »
R-74 statewide map is up.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4295 on: December 05, 2012, 12:15:45 AM »
The 47th LD recount was today. The Republican gained one vote, the Democrat none. GOP victory.

The 17th LD State Senate recount should be finished tomorrow. On Thursday they'll start the one for the State House seat.
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4296 on: December 05, 2012, 01:57:44 AM »
Do we know which party will control the State Senate yet?
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4297 on: December 05, 2012, 02:07:35 AM »
No; neither Sheldon nor Tom have indicated anything definitive. Last heard from Sheldon was a statement indicating his appreciation at being nominated for PPT (though there was no commitment from him to vote for the arrangement). Schoesler, the new Republican leader, has indicated he likes the coalition idea.

We may get some clarity tomorrow once Benton's victory is confirmed. Or we could be waiting until mid-January.
Logged
LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4298 on: December 05, 2012, 05:06:09 AM »
Do a lot of minorities(residents of Central District) read the Stranger? Seems like some of the results here would suggest that.
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4299 on: December 05, 2012, 01:03:24 PM »
No. I don't see how you could have possibly come to that conclusion. Are you mixing up Capitol Hill and the Central District?
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 167 168 169 170 171 [172] 173 174 175 176 177 ... 253  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 10 queries.