Iosif
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,609
Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: -3.65
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« Reply #50 on: June 06, 2008, 04:46:58 PM » |
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Hello.
Michigan has gone democrat since 1992 and Wisconsin since 1988. It's would take a monumental cock-up for those to swing to McCain. They won't be competitive. The only Kerry state I can see swinging to McCain is New Hampshire. Obama will take Pennsylvania quite easily.
Obama's polling quite comfortably ahead in Iowa and Colorado - more than 5%. He's also looking good in New Mexico. If he runs with Bill Richardson, which I think he should, that will solidify NM and may bring Florida and even Texas back in play with all their latino votes.
Really, this should be Obama by a landslide. He just needs to convince the nation he's not some ultra-liberal, black panther in disguise. If he can't do that in 5 months he doesn't deserve to win.
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