Once we have recovered from Crewe and Nantwich

[Harry Hayfield]

we have this little beauty to look forward to

BBC Parliament, May 30th 2008, 9.00am to 8.10pm The 1983 General Election







So therefore does anyone feel up to a live blog of results (with suitably big hairdos)

[The Man From G.O.P.]

Harry get this for us americans, I want to see this, you must find a way.

[Harry Hayfield]

Harry get this for us americans, I want to see this, you must find a way.

I'll see what I can manage.

[The Man From G.O.P.]

Harry get this for us americans, I want to see this, you must find a way.

I'll see what I can manage.

YOU MUST

[Harry Hayfield]

Notional 1979 Results (from BBC / ITN calculations)
Conservatives 13,703,429 votes (44.91%) winning 359 seats
Labour 11,512,877 votes (37.73%) winning 261 seats
Liberals 4,324,936 votes (14.17%) winning 9 seats
Plaid Cymru 135,241 votes (0.44%) winning 2 seats
Scottish National Party 497,128 votes (1.63%) winning 2 seats
GB Others 341,886 votes (1.12%) winning 0 seats

Northern Ireland Notionals 1979
BELFAST EAST: UU 13,160; UDUP 12,610; APNI 11,851; UPNI 1,926; NI Lab 1,589 (UUP)
BELFAST NORTH: UU 13,828; UDUP 11,303; SDLP 8,576; APNI 4,399; UPNI 4,319;
NI Lab 2,193; Rep C/TWP 1,484 (UUP)
BELFAST SOUTH: UU 23,409; APNI 9,044; SDLP 5,093; UPNI 1,644; Ind Lab 732 (UUP)
BELFAST WEST: SDLP 18,469; UU 6,013; UDUP 4,629; Rep C/TWP 3,387; APNI 2,559; NI Lab 677 (SDLP)
EAST ANTRIM: UDUP 17,368; UU 11,479; APNI 6,902; SDLP 1,684; IIP 875 (DUP)
EAST LONDONDERRY: UU 27,562; SDLP 10,035; APNI 3,500; Rep C/TWP 809; Ind Lab 80 (UUP)
FERMANAGH and SOUTH TYRONE: Ind Rep 20,646; UU 15,616; Ind SDLP 10,794; UUUP 10,607; APNI 624 (SF)
FOYLE: SDLP 16,501; UU 14,506; IIP 11,342; APNI 3,415, Rep C/TWP 617; Ind Lab 80 (SDLP)
LAGAN VALLEY: UU 28,286; APNI 5,628; SDLP 1,329; Rep C/TWP 394; Ind Lab 46 (UUP)
MID-ULSTER: UUUP 21,917; SDLP 13,129; IIP 8,220; APNI 3,253; Rep C/TWP 825 (Ind Unionist)
NEWRY and ARMAGH: UU 19,231; SDLP 16,893; IIP 4,021; UDUP 2,475; Rep C/TWP 1,610; APNI 1,488 (UUP)
NORTH ANTRIM: UDUP 25,594; UU 11,493; SDLP 4,622; APNI 3,137; IIP 2,059 (DUP)
NORTH DOWN: Ind UU 19,559; APNI 9,090; UU 6,313 (Ind Unionist)
SOUTH ANTRIM: UU 24,121; APNI 5,587; SDLP 1,630; Rep C/TWP 1,258; Ind Lab 858 (UUP)
SOUTH DOWN: UU 20,576; SDLP 20,010; APNI 2,956; IIP 1,330; Rep C/TWP 1,234 (UUP)
STRANGFORD: Ind UU 20,845; APNI 12,924; UU 12,149 (Ind Unionist)
UPPER BANN: UU 18,819; SDLP 8,332; UDUP 7,038; APNI 2,013; Rep C/TWP 1,149 (UUP)

[Harry Hayfield]

The opinion polls during the 1983 campaign

[afleitch]

^^^

How oddly familiar

[Harry Hayfield]

By-election record 1979 - 1983
Labour defended 8 seats, held 7, lost 2, gained 1. Change: -1
Conservatives defended 7 seats, held 3, lost 4, gained 1. Change : -3
Alliance defended 0, held 0, lost 0, gained 4. Change: +4

Vote Share
Conservatives 27.1% (-11.4%)
Labour 37.3% (-10.9%)
Alliance 27.2% (+18.3%)
Plaid Cymru 8.5% (+1.3%)
SNP 17.0% (+6.4%)
Others 3.8% (+2.4%)

Constituency Results
Manchester Central: Lab HOLD
Hertfordshire South West: Con HOLD
Southend East: Con HOLD
Glasgow Central: Lab HOLD
Warrington: Lab HOLD
Croydon North West: All GAIN from Con (25% Con to All swing)
Crosby: All GAIN from Con (26%Con to All swing)
Glasgow, Hillhead: All GAIN from Con (17% Con to All swing)
Beaconsfield: Con HOLD (Tony Blair, Lab, loses deposit)
Mitcham and Morden: Con GAIN from Lab (10% Lab to Con swing)
Coatbridge and Airdrie: Lab HOLD
Gower: Lab HOLD
Peckham: Lab HOLD
Birmingham, Northfield: Lab GAIN from Con (1% Con to Lab swing)
Glasgow, Queen's Park: Lab HOLD
Bermondsey:All GAIN from Lab (45% Lab to All swing)*
* Current Guiness Record for the biggest swing at a by-elecion in the UK. Blaenau Gwent 2005 holds the record for the biggest swing at a national election.

[J. J.]

Can't I just tune into the first run episode of Yes, Minister.

[Harry Hayfield]

Conservative Battleground

Number   Name 1   Isle of Wight 2   Oxford East 3   Cunninghame North 4   Corby 5   Nottingham East 6   Hertfordshire West 7   Mitcham and Morden 8   Derbyshire South 9   Leicestershire North West 10   Southampton Itchen 11   Halifax 12   Stockton South 13   Lewisham West 14   Edmonton 15   Stevenage 16   York 17   Darlington 18   Ceredigion & Pembroke North 19   Inverness Nairn and Lochaber 20   Bridgend 21   Harlow 22   The Wrekin 23   Cambridgeshire North East 24   Ealing North 25   Nuneaton 26   Batley and Spen 27   Ellesmere Port and Neston 28   Hyndburn 29   Colne Valley 30   Blackburn 31   Derby North 32   Renfrew West and Inverclyde 33   Lewisham East 34   Glasgow Hillhead 35   Slough 36   Leicester East 37   Norwich South 38   West Bromwich East 39   Glanford and Sc**nthorpe 40   Warwickshire North 41   Burnley 42   Plymouth Devonport 43   Ipswich 44   Kingswood 45   Feltham and Heston 46   Meirionnnydd Nant Conwy 47   Leicester South 48   Newport West 49   Swansea West 50   Hayes and Harlington

[Harry Hayfield]

Labour Battleground

Number   Name 1   Birmingham Northfield 2   Bury South 3   Dulwich 4   Liverpool Broadgreen 5   Nottingham South 6   Aberdeen South 7   Stirling 8   Hornchurch 9   Luton South 10   Calder Valley 11   Pendle 12   Bolton North East 13   Cardiff Central 14   Croydon North West 15   Fulham 16   Cambridge 17   Birmingham Erdington 18   Dudley West 19   Welwyn Hatfield 20   Glasgow Cathcart 21   Southampton Test 22   Dundee East 23   Erewash 24   Vale of Glamorgan 25   Edinburgh Central 26   Westminster North 27   Crawley 28   Ilford South 29   Peterborough 30   Putney 31   Bury North 32   Keighley 33   Crewe and Nantwich 34   Brecon and Radnor 35   Eltham 36   Clwyd South West 37   Bristol North West 38   Great Yarmouth 39   Lincoln 40   Gloucestershire West 41   Norwich North 42   Hornsey and Wood Green 43   Ynys Mon 44   Birmingham Yardley 45   Elmet 46   Medway 47   Hampstead and Highgate 48   Edinburgh South 49   Enfield North 50   Inverness Nairn and Lochaber

[/color]

[Harry Hayfield]

Alliance Battleground

1   Roxburgh and Berwickshire 2   Richmond and Barnes 3   Montgomery 4   Chelmsford 5   Wiltshire North 6   Cornwall North 7   Hereford 8   Colne Valley 9   Gordon 10   Southport 11   Salisbury 12   Devon North 13   Gainsborough and Horncastle 14   Cornwall South East 15   Clwyd South West 16   Liverpool Broadgreen 17   Newbury 18   Yeovil 19   Pudsey 20   Ross Cromarty and Skye 21   Leominster 22   Liverpool Mossley Hill 23   Bath 24   Renfrew West and Inverclyde 25   Teignbridge 26   Brigg and Cleethorpes 27   Shrewsbury and Atcham 28   Westbury 29   Cheltenham 30   Fife North East 31   Somerton and Frome 32   Cambridge 33   Lindsey East 34   Chertsey and Walton 35   Littleborough and Saddleworth 36   Calder Valley 37   Clwyd North West 38   Meirionnnydd Nant Conwy 39   Hazel Grove 40   South Hams 41   Edinburgh West 42   Conwy 43   Twickenham 44   Edinburgh South 45   Ludlow 46   Stirling 47   Argyll and Bute 48   Carmarthen 49   Pendle 50   Moray

[Harry Hayfield]

BBC Parliament replay is tomorrow at 9.00am and carries on until 8.10pm and I shall try my best to blog it as live and would therefore like to know if anyone has any special requests for live constituency declarations.

The Man from the GOP, yes, I can indeed get it for you as I shall be recording it onto DVD, can you give me an e-mail address so I can send a invoice for the cost of the DVD and postage to the USA.

http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/con83.htm Conservative Manifesto 1983
http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/lab83.htm Labour Manifesto 1983
http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/all83.htm Liberal / SDP Alliance Manifesto 1983

[Silent Hunter]

BBC Parliament replay is tomorrow at 9.00am and carries on until 8.10pm and I shall try my best to blog it as live and would therefore like to know if anyone has any special requests for live constituency declarations.

The Man from the GOP, yes, I can indeed get it for you as I shall be recording it onto DVD, can you give me an e-mail address so I can send a invoice for the cost of the DVD and postage to the USA.

http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/con83.htm Conservative Manifesto 1983
http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/lab83.htm Labour Manifesto 1983
http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/all83.htm Liberal / SDP Alliance Manifesto 1983

The three Havering seats, please.

[Ben.]

BBC Parliament replay is tomorrow at 9.00am and carries on until 8.10pm and I shall try my best to blog it as live and would therefore like to know if anyone has any special requests for live constituency declarations.

The Man from the GOP, yes, I can indeed get it for you as I shall be recording it onto DVD, can you give me an e-mail address so I can send a invoice for the cost of the DVD and postage to the USA.

http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/con83.htm Conservative Manifesto 1983
http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/lab83.htm Labour Manifesto 1983
http://www.psr.keele.ac.uk/area/uk/man/all83.htm Liberal / SDP Alliance Manifesto 1983

If you can, the Leicester seats? Cheers.

[Хahar 🤔]

Bethnal Green and Stepney