Official Indiana Democratic Primary Discussion Thread
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Author Topic: Official Indiana Democratic Primary Discussion Thread  (Read 35127 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #50 on: May 06, 2008, 06:06:32 PM »

Clinton wins whites 60-40; Obama wins blacks 92-8.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #51 on: May 06, 2008, 06:06:38 PM »

Republicans preferred Clinton, for the first time. Independents still preferred Obama, a sure sign of Limbaugh propping up Clinton.

Tell that to someone from a decade ago and watch their head explode
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Everett
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« Reply #52 on: May 06, 2008, 06:06:42 PM »

What, there was a primary today?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #53 on: May 06, 2008, 06:06:53 PM »

HuffPo has updated exit poll leaks:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/06/exit-polls-indiana-north_n_100447.html

    Indiana

    Obama: 50.5%

    Clinton: 49.5%

    North Carolina

    Obama: 60%

    Clinton: 38%


lol.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #54 on: May 06, 2008, 06:07:23 PM »

Those who said race was important were more strongly for Clinton than those who said it wasn't.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #55 on: May 06, 2008, 06:07:35 PM »

What, there was a primary today?

Yes.

Mitt Romney is dead, btw.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #56 on: May 06, 2008, 06:08:07 PM »

89% said they'd been affected by the recession.
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Hash
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« Reply #57 on: May 06, 2008, 06:08:19 PM »

59-41 for Clinton with 4% in.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #58 on: May 06, 2008, 06:08:41 PM »

Exit polls say Hillary is winning by 4 points.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #59 on: May 06, 2008, 06:09:18 PM »

Clinton wins whites 60-40; Obama wins blacks 92-8.

Almost exactly the same as PA.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #60 on: May 06, 2008, 06:09:45 PM »

Exit polls say Hillary is winning by 4 points.

So it'll actually be Hillary by eight, right? Which happens to be my prediction, by the way.  Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #61 on: May 06, 2008, 06:10:23 PM »

Clinton wins whites 60-40; Obama wins blacks 92-8.

Almost exactly the same as PA.

Die now

Edit: not literally. But... symbolically. Or something
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #62 on: May 06, 2008, 06:11:01 PM »

Clinton wins whites 60-40; Obama wins blacks 92-8.

Almost exactly the same as PA.

Slightly better for Obama than PA; there it was 63-37 and 90-10.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #63 on: May 06, 2008, 06:11:35 PM »

Exit polls say Hillary is winning by 4 points.

So it'll actually be Hillary by eight, right? Which happens to be my prediction, by the way.  Smiley

I think I said 8 too. I may come close. Wink
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kevinatcausa
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« Reply #64 on: May 06, 2008, 06:14:31 PM »

The number from the exit poll on the Times' site I found interesting is the last one:

Which candidate do you think shares your values?
%of totalAnswer% for Clinton% for Obama
24Only Hillary Clinton991
27Only Barack Obama199
38Both of them5545
9Neither of them7425

How accurate is that last row as an quantitative estimation of the "Limbaugh effect"?
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #65 on: May 06, 2008, 06:15:22 PM »

Probably very good, as it filters out those who genuinely like one of the candidates they're crossing over for.
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JohnCA246
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« Reply #66 on: May 06, 2008, 06:16:31 PM »

Obama is doing better in Allen county than I thought, everything else about what I expected, lets wait to see how Indy votes.
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Alcon
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« Reply #67 on: May 06, 2008, 06:16:37 PM »

Obama is doing very well in Fort Wayne and I have no realistic explanation why

Edit: mokbubble wins!
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JohnCA246
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« Reply #68 on: May 06, 2008, 06:16:52 PM »

lol ditto
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kevinatcausa
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« Reply #69 on: May 06, 2008, 06:16:59 PM »

On the other hand it catches Edwards' supporters who are disgusted with both candidates and are going with the lesser of two evils, from their point of view.
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« Reply #70 on: May 06, 2008, 06:19:47 PM »

The number from the exit poll on the Times' site I found interesting is the last one:

Which candidate do you think shares your values?
%of totalAnswer% for Clinton% for Obama
24Only Hillary Clinton991
27Only Barack Obama199
38Both of them5545
9Neither of them7425

How accurate is that last row as an quantitative estimation of the "Limbaugh effect"?

That's not the only indication. Here are all the ones I found.

Clinton won:

Republicans by 8 points
Conservatives by 30 points (even more among people who say they're very conservative)
People who say neither are trustworthy by 51 points
People who say neither share their values by 51 points
People who say both attacked unfairly by 32 points
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exopolitician
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« Reply #71 on: May 06, 2008, 06:21:17 PM »

Curious [not to sound rude or anything] but why do old voters [+65] love Hillary Clinton? Im kinda confused...

is it because shes older than Obama or the fact older voters want to see a woman in the whitehouse during their generation or do they trust her on the issues or something? Matchu needs input!
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #72 on: May 06, 2008, 06:22:29 PM »

Curious [not to sound rude or anything] but why do old voters [+65] love Hillary Clinton? Im kinda confused...

is it because shes older than Obama or the fact older voters want to see a woman in the whitehouse during their generation or do they trust her on the issues or something? Matchu needs input!

Older voters don't like senators with only 2 years of experience and no significant policy achievements. That is my guess.
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bgwah
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« Reply #73 on: May 06, 2008, 06:22:42 PM »

Curious [not to sound rude or anything] but why do old voters [+65] love Hillary Clinton? Im kinda confused...

is it because shes older than Obama or the fact older voters want to see a woman in the whitehouse during their generation or do they trust her on the issues or something? Matchu needs input!

Old ladies want to see a woman president before they die.

The "I never thought I'd live to see" types.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #74 on: May 06, 2008, 06:23:37 PM »

is it because shes older than Obama or the fact older voters want to see a woman in the whitehouse during their generation or do they trust her on the issues or something? Matchu needs input!

Obama is dangerous and scary.  Or something.
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