Official North Carolina Democratic Primary Discussion Thread
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Author Topic: Official North Carolina Democratic Primary Discussion Thread  (Read 10228 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 06, 2008, 12:23:10 AM »

Election Night Reporting
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2008, 07:36:10 AM »

Well I just got done voting! Go Obama! Go Bev! Go Kay!
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2008, 08:10:32 AM »

Well I just got done voting! Go Obama! Go Bev! Go Kay!

I see you finally settled on a candidate.  From your post, it looks as though you were an enthusiastic voter of Obama, am I wrong?
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2008, 08:30:00 AM »

Well I just got done voting! Go Obama! Go Bev! Go Kay!

I see you finally settled on a candidate.  From your post, it looks as though you were an enthusiastic voter of Obama, am I wrong?

Yea I was, but over the past few weeks, Clinton sounded like Obama, but the main reason I didn't vote for Clinton was because of her Gas Hoilday Plan.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2008, 09:40:30 AM »

Three of my friends just voted for Hillary!!!!!

I also hope McCrory wins the GOP governor's nomination.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2008, 09:45:34 AM »

Three of my friends just voted for Hillary!!!!!

I also hope McCrory wins the GOP governor's nomination.

I don't think he will, the republican in NC are dumb and will elected Smith. I would vote for McCrory over Moore, but not over Bev.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #6 on: May 06, 2008, 09:48:11 AM »

Three of my friends just voted for Hillary!!!!!

I also hope McCrory wins the GOP governor's nomination.

I don't think he will, the republican in NC are dumb and will elected Smith. I would vote for McCrory over Moore, but not over Bev.

Are you serious? Smith sounds like an idiot when I hear him talk and his debate performances. I thought McCrory has been leading in the polls ever since he entered the primary?

Surely if 70% of Mecklenberg votes for him, he can run up enough margins to hold on in the rural towns that will be strong Smith.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #7 on: May 06, 2008, 09:51:29 AM »

Three of my friends just voted for Hillary!!!!!

I also hope McCrory wins the GOP governor's nomination.

I don't think he will, the republican in NC are dumb and will elected Smith. I would vote for McCrory over Moore, but not over Bev.

Are you serious? Smith sounds like an idiot when I hear him talk and his debate performances. I thought McCrory has been leading in the polls ever since he entered the primary?

Surely if 70% of Mecklenberg votes for him, he can run up enough margins to hold on in the rural towns that will be strong Smith.

Well the polls have shown them almost tied for a month or so. Also Orr has a big showing in the SE part of the state. If Smith does win it won't be by much. Plus they may have to have an run-off election between Smith and McCrory.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: May 06, 2008, 09:57:52 AM »

Three of my friends just voted for Hillary!!!!!

I also hope McCrory wins the GOP governor's nomination.

I don't think he will, the republican in NC are dumb and will elected Smith. I would vote for McCrory over Moore, but not over Bev.

Are you serious? Smith sounds like an idiot when I hear him talk and his debate performances. I thought McCrory has been leading in the polls ever since he entered the primary?

Surely if 70% of Mecklenberg votes for him, he can run up enough margins to hold on in the rural towns that will be strong Smith.

Well the polls have shown them almost tied for a month or so. Also Orr has a big showing in the SE part of the state. If Smith does win it won't be by much. Plus they may have to have an run-off election between Smith and McCrory.

If that if no one gets 50%?

Orr?? How can anyone think Smith or Orr has a chance against Purdue or Moore?
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #9 on: May 06, 2008, 10:13:37 AM »

Three of my friends just voted for Hillary!!!!!

I also hope McCrory wins the GOP governor's nomination.

I don't think he will, the republican in NC are dumb and will elected Smith. I would vote for McCrory over Moore, but not over Bev.

Are you serious? Smith sounds like an idiot when I hear him talk and his debate performances. I thought McCrory has been leading in the polls ever since he entered the primary?

Surely if 70% of Mecklenberg votes for him, he can run up enough margins to hold on in the rural towns that will be strong Smith.

Well the polls have shown them almost tied for a month or so. Also Orr has a big showing in the SE part of the state. If Smith does win it won't be by much. Plus they may have to have an run-off election between Smith and McCrory.

If that if no one gets 50%?

Orr?? How can anyone think Smith or Orr has a chance against Purdue or Moore?

I believe so, I'm not sure I'll check. Also I know Smith and Orr don't have a chance against Bev, but I'm not a republican.
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Thomas Jackson
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« Reply #10 on: May 06, 2008, 02:02:38 PM »

From Rightpundit

Update 11am EST - The final poll of polls has Obama +8.0. The new RightPundits prediction model, which accounts for polling bias, suggests that Obama will achieve his double-digit win in North Carolina. Expect an Obama win of 10-18 points. So you can go home now? Of course not!

Update 1pm EST - It appears that Hillary is getting smashed. Party insiders are working damage control now. Please remember that early exit poll data is faulty and unreliable for a variety of reasons, including technical aspects of polling technique as well as demographic voting patterns.

Update 2pm EST - Mike Ash, who is the of the Director of the Durham County Board of Elections reports very high turnout, breaking records by 11:30 am. This is important because this is a bellwether of AA vote. So, it does appear that Obama could have a real good day.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: May 06, 2008, 02:06:20 PM »

Yeah, the "buzz" today seems to be that Hillary is going to be absolutely destroyed in NC. We'll see though. I'm not ready to party just yet.

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: May 06, 2008, 02:07:35 PM »

Where is Alcon with his turnout reports anyway?
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #13 on: May 06, 2008, 02:14:46 PM »

Yeah, the "buzz" today seems to be that Hillary is going to be absolutely destroyed in NC. We'll see though. I'm not ready to party just yet.



When I went and voted today at 7:30 there where already about 30 people waithing in line.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: May 06, 2008, 02:16:57 PM »

Yeah, the "buzz" today seems to be that Hillary is going to be absolutely destroyed in NC. We'll see though. I'm not ready to party just yet.



When I went and voted today at 7:30 there where already about 30 people waithing in line.

What color were they?
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #15 on: May 06, 2008, 02:17:58 PM »

I have Obama doing well, but not well enough in North Carolina and Hillary ahead in Indiana.

http://tinyurl.com/4tluyr
http://tinyurl.com/6cklh4

With £100 on Hillary in Ladbroke’s North Carolina handicap (at 1.72), I’ve got my fingers crossed!
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #16 on: May 06, 2008, 02:19:33 PM »

Yeah, the "buzz" today seems to be that Hillary is going to be absolutely destroyed in NC. We'll see though. I'm not ready to party just yet.



When I went and voted today at 7:30 there where already about 30 people waithing in line.

What color were they?

Whites and Blacks.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: May 06, 2008, 02:21:06 PM »

I'm hearing black turnout is huge.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #18 on: May 06, 2008, 02:28:24 PM »

I'm hearing black turnout is huge.

I seen people come in with them I voted stickers on all day, and most of them where Black females.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: May 06, 2008, 02:37:22 PM »

I'm hearing black turnout is huge.

I seen people come in with them I voted stickers on all day, and most of them where Black females.

Good. So who did you vote for anyway Josh?
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #20 on: May 06, 2008, 02:38:35 PM »

I'm hearing black turnout is huge.

I seen people come in with them I voted stickers on all day, and most of them where Black females.

Good. So who did you vote for anyway Josh?

Obama
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Franzl
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« Reply #21 on: May 06, 2008, 02:43:26 PM »

I'm hearing black turnout is huge.


Where are you getting that?
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Saxwsylvania
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« Reply #22 on: May 06, 2008, 02:53:53 PM »


Intuition.
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Alcon
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« Reply #23 on: May 06, 2008, 03:03:47 PM »

By the by, expect a possible reverse-California here.  Since Obama seems to be smashing among early voters and closer among poll voters, the exit polls might look relatively pessimistic for him.  Because of the type of people who respond to exit polls (i.e., younger people), that could manifest itself in an actually realistic result for once.  That is, assuming the polls are right.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #24 on: May 06, 2008, 03:14:01 PM »

It's really too bad that I'm not going to be with y'all this evening.  I look forward to talking about things tomorrow.
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