NC PrimD: Suffolk University: Obama leads by 6
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  NC PrimD: Suffolk University: Obama leads by 6
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Author Topic: NC PrimD: Suffolk University: Obama leads by 6  (Read 1614 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: May 04, 2008, 11:58:25 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina President by Suffolk University on 2008-05-04

Summary:
Obama:
49%
Clinton:
43%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2008, 12:56:32 AM »

Uni poll, burn.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2008, 09:13:47 AM »


ill agree.  suffolk released a poll the day before massachusetts that showed clinton only up by 2 or 3.

but someone correct me if im wrong, didnt suffolk nail new hampshire?
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2008, 09:18:40 AM »


ill agree.  suffolk released a poll the day before massachusetts that showed clinton only up by 2 or 3.

but someone correct me if im wrong, didnt suffolk nail new hampshire?

Nope, no one did.  And even if they did, I'd still be suspicious.  Usually, dumb luck that disagrees with all the other pollsters is still just dumb luck.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2008, 09:21:52 AM »

The link doesn't work, and the numbers looks suspiciously like the SU numbers for IN today, with Clinton and Obama inverted
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2008, 08:16:12 PM »

This was for IN, not NC.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2008, 08:41:11 PM »


ill agree.  suffolk released a poll the day before massachusetts that showed clinton only up by 2 or 3.

but someone correct me if im wrong, didnt suffolk nail new hampshire?

Nope, no one did.  And even if they did, I'd still be suspicious.  Usually, dumb luck that disagrees with all the other pollsters is still just dumb luck.

Correct. I'll give an example. Using random.org I got these results from 16 "2004 voting coins". If I apply these to the first 16 states in alphabetical order (correct ones bolded):

AL - Kerry
AK - Kerry
AZ - Bush
AR - Bush
CA - Kerry

CO - Kerry
CT - Kerry
DE - Kerry

DC - Bush
FL - Bush
GA - Kerry
HI - Kerry
ID - Kerry
IL - Kerry
IN - Bush

IA - Kerry

I got 9/16 correct, which actually is a majority, but it doesn't mean this methodology has any validity to it whatsoever.
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