IN-TeleResearch: Clinton leads Obama by 10

[Tender Branson]

Clinton: 48%
Obama: 38%
Undecided: 14%

The telephone poll of 943 randomly selected likely Democratic primary voters was conducted from April 25 through April 29. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent.

What is particularly striking in the results is the declining support for Obama in favor of Clinton over successive days in which respondents were questioned.

On the first day of the survey, Clinton held a 2 percent lead -- 45 percent to 43 percent, despite a 20-point lead for Obama among male respondents. Each day, more respondents supported Clinton.

By the last day of polling, Clinton took 4 percent lead among men -- 45 percent to 41 percent -- representing a staggering 24-point swing.

Over the four days in which the survey was conducted, the controversy involving the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Obama's former pastor, swelled.

"In that window, he dominated all the political news in the presidential race," said Jeff Lewis, TeleResearch CEO. "In that period of time, Obama's lead among men went from a 20 point lead on Friday … to a four point lead for Sen. Clinton."

Among females, Clinton held a commanding lead of between 15 and 20 points.

TeleResearch accurately predicted the results of the last two Indiana gubernatorial elections within a 1 percent margin.

http://www.theindychannel.com/politics/16106143/detail.html

[RJEvans]

Tuesday is going to be very interesting.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The same type of voters in Southeastern IN is the same type of voters in Pittsburgh.  IN and NC was suppose to be Obama's fire wall, to close her out, but it looks like she may hang on to the bitter end and cause problems for Obama in the general.

[Reaganfan]

GO HILLARY! YOU'RE NOT GONNA WIN BUT KEEP IN IT ANYWAYS!

[Padfoot]

The same type of voters in Southeastern IN is the same type of voters in Pittsburgh.  IN and NC was suppose to be Obama's fire wall, to close her out, but it looks like she may hang on to the bitter end and cause problems for Obama in the general.

I agree about the demographics but as has been pointed out before, those voters are more likely to be Republicans in Indiana.  That could amplify the affect of the black vote plus there is the media market spillover from Illinois.  This isn't going to be a 10-point blowout.