NC PrimD: Rasmussen: Clinton Closing the gap

[Josh/Devilman88]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Rasmussen on 2008-04-28

Summary:

Obama:	51%
Clinton:	37%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Down 14 points is "closing the gap"?

[Democratic Hawk]

Following her PA win, I dare say Clinton is having a bit of momentum going through to IN and NC

Dave

[Wiz in Wis]

Following her PA win, I dare say Clinton is having a bit of momentum going through to IN and NC

Dave

look at the description of this poll. 55% of the sample is over 65 years old... does that sound right to anyone else?

[RJEvans]

Down 14 points is "closing the gap"?

Yes, because the previous Rasmussen poll had Obama beating Clinton by 23%. A lead of 23% to 14% is "closing the gap."

[Eraserhead]

I was never expecting Obama to win in VA sized blowout, so this isn't very surprising. A 14 point victory would be just fine with me.

[Democratic Hawk]

Following her PA win, I dare say Clinton is having a bit of momentum going through to IN and NC

Dave

look at the description of this poll. 55% of the sample is over 65 years old... does that sound right to anyone else?

No wonder she's 'closing' . No way will >65s constitute 55% of the Democratic primary in NC; but perhaps the report has stated the incorrect %

Dave

[Eraserhead]

Obama is only trailing by 15% among white voters. Not too bad.

[Alcon]

Following her PA win, I dare say Clinton is having a bit of momentum going through to IN and NC

Dave

look at the description of this poll. 55% of the sample is over 65 years old... does that sound right to anyone else?

Where are you seeing that?

[Wiz in Wis]

Following her PA win, I dare say Clinton is having a bit of momentum going through to IN and NC

Dave

look at the description of this poll. 55% of the sample is over 65 years old... does that sound right to anyone else?

Where are you seeing that?

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/north_carolina_democratic_primary

at the very bottom of the description

[Alcon]

That better be a typo.

2004 Kerry electorate vs. poll:

Female
Kerry: 64%
Poll: 56%
Probably still a bit of an underestimation

White
Kerry: 45%
Poll: 64%

Black
Kerry: 54%
Poll: 33%

Over 65
Kerry: 13%
Poll: 55% (?!?!)

Under 30
Kerry: 18%
Poll: 10%

[Wiz in Wis]

That better be a typo.

2004 Kerry electorate vs. poll:

Female
Kerry: 64%
Poll: 56%
Probably still a bit of an underestimation

White
Kerry: 45%
Poll: 64%

Black
Kerry: 54%
Poll: 33%

Over 65
Kerry: 13%
Poll: 55% (?!?!)

Under 30
Kerry: 18%
Poll: 10%

Wow... if these even come close to reflecting the Obama percentages, he should win by 25 points

[kevinatcausa]

They seem to have corrected their typo...it now reads 55% of the people polled are over 50.

[J. J.]

This one is the out rider.

I do think Clinton is under polling and I expect their to be a small Bradley Effect.

[Lief 🗽]

This one is the out rider.

I do think Clinton is under polling and I expect their to be a small Bradley Effect.

If there's going to be a Bradley Effect, it'll be a reverse one, like every other Southern state with a lot of blacks so far.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah, compare the polls from every state from Mississippi to Virginia to the actual results.