Zogby: McCain trails Obama, but leads Clinton when Nader/Barr are included

[Tender Branson]

Obama: 45%
McCain: 45%

Obama: 44%
McCain: 42%
Nader: 3%
Barr: 2%

In the four-way race including Obama and McCain, both candidates win 79% support from their own parties, while Obama leads by 8% among independents. Obama leads by six points over McCain among women, while McCain leads Obama among men by a statistically insignificant 45% to 44% edge.

The Democract leads among those under age 35, while McCain leads among those over age 70. Those in the middle – likely voters age 35-69 – are evenly divided between the two candidates. Obama leads McCain 51% to 38% among political moderates, a demographic group that Zogby has identified as one of the most important in the presidential race this year.

McCain: 46%
Clinton: 41%

McCain: 45%
Clinton: 39%
Nader: 3%
Barr: 2%

In the four-way race including McCain and Clinton, McCain does slightly better among his political base of Republicans, winning 81%. Clinton, by comparison, wins 76% of support from Democrats, but McCain wins 13% backing from Democrats. Clinton wins 4% backing from Republicans.

Among independents, McCain leads by nine points, 42% to 33%. Nader and Barr appear to have only a minor impact on the Obama/McCain race, but their presence helps Obama. In the Clinton/McCain race, is less noticeable, but Nader does win 6% support from the independents, which may well eat into Clinton’s support. McCain leads among all voters age 25 and older, while Clinton leads among those age 18-24.

The overall survey included 1,046 likely voters, was conducted April 10-12, 2008, and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The sub-group of likely voting Democrats included 532 respondents and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1479

[Alcon]

Obama: 45%
McCain: 45%

Obama: 44%
McCain: 42%
Nader: 3%
Barr: 2%

what

[Tender Branson]

Obama: 45%
McCain: 45%

Obama: 44%
McCain: 42%
Nader: 3%
Barr: 2%

what

I guess they polled a 2-way race and a separate 4-way race ?

[Alcon]

Obama: 45%
McCain: 45%

Obama: 44%
McCain: 42%
Nader: 3%
Barr: 2%

what

I guess they polled a 2-way race and a separate 4-way race ?

I know, but McCain would have to lose just as many people to Nader as Obama does, and all his supporters to Barr, in order for that to be possible...or there is some crazy rounding.

[Mr. Morden]

I know, but McCain would have to lose just as many people to Nader as Obama does, and all his supporters to Barr, in order for that to be possible...or there is some crazy rounding.

Adding Barr into the mix could lead some Republicans to *consider* defecting to Barr, thus moving some of McCain's support to "undecided" in the 4-way scenario.

[Alcon]

I know, but McCain would have to lose just as many people to Nader as Obama does, and all his supporters to Barr, in order for that to be possible...or there is some crazy rounding.

Adding Barr into the mix could lead some Republicans to *consider* defecting to Barr, thus moving some of McCain's support to "undecided" in the 4-way scenario.

Ah, good point.

[Reaganfan]

Who the hell is Barr?

[Joe Republic]

Who the hell is Barr?

Bob Barr.  Former GOP congressman, now Libertarian presidential candidate.

[Mr. Morden]

Who the hell is Barr?

She had a sitcom in the 90s, and she was also married to Tom Arnold for a while.

[Gustaf]

Obama: 45%
McCain: 45%

Obama: 44%
McCain: 42%
Nader: 3%
Barr: 2%

In the four-way race including Obama and McCain, both candidates win 79% support from their own parties, while Obama leads by 8% among independents. Obama leads by six points over McCain among women, while McCain leads Obama among men by a statistically insignificant 45% to 44% edge.

The Democract leads among those under age 35, while McCain leads among those over age 70. Those in the middle – likely voters age 35-69 – are evenly divided between the two candidates. Obama leads McCain 51% to 38% among political moderates, a demographic group that Zogby has identified as one of the most important in the presidential race this year.

McCain: 46%
Clinton: 41%

McCain: 45%
Clinton: 39%
Nader: 3%
Barr: 2%
In the four-way race including McCain and Clinton, McCain does slightly better among his political base of Republicans, winning 81%. Clinton, by comparison, wins 76% of support from Democrats, but McCain wins 13% backing from Democrats. Clinton wins 4% backing from Republicans.

Among independents, McCain leads by nine points, 42% to 33%. Nader and Barr appear to have only a minor impact on the Obama/McCain race, but their presence helps Obama. In the Clinton/McCain race, is less noticeable, but Nader does win 6% support from the independents, which may well eat into Clinton’s support. McCain leads among all voters age 25 and older, while Clinton leads among those age 18-24.

The overall survey included 1,046 likely voters, was conducted April 10-12, 2008, and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The sub-group of likely voting Democrats included 532 respondents and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1479

I've bolder the parts I've found especially lol-worthy. Yeah, I'm sure Clinton voters are more likely to swing to Barr or Nader than Obama voters are. After all, it isn't like Obama are drawing in youngsters, libertarians, independents, internet people and all those groups usually voting for such candidates.

And moderates are an important group for the presidential election??!?! Who could have guessed! Thank you, Zogby..

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

And moderates are an important group for the presidential election??!?! Who could have guessed!

Surely not the Club for Growth. 

[Filuwaúrdjan]

lol Zoggy

[Sensei]

Who the hell is Barr?

Bob Barr.  Former GOP congressman, now Libertarian presidential candidate.

He was also in Borat. He's from Georgia.

[Eraserhead]

Go Barr!