IN PrimD: Survey USA: Clinton 52, Obama 43

[Sam Spade]

New Poll: Indiana President by Survey USA on 2008-04-01

Summary:

Clinton:	52%
Obama:	43%
Other:	4%
Undecided:	1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

Not too bad. It's nice to finally get a poll (besides that joke poll that had Obama up 15 points).

[Alcon]

Open primary?  With more GOPers than indies?  Huh...

Obama seems to be faring much better in rural Indiana than I had any reason to expect.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Open primary?  With more GOPers than indies?  Huh...

Obama seems to be faring much better in rural Indiana than I had any reason to expect.

Which is very good news, since the key to Indiana for Obama to keep Hillary from landsliding in as many districts as possible.

[Alcon]

Open primary?  With more GOPers than indies?  Huh...

Obama seems to be faring much better in rural Indiana than I had any reason to expect.

Which is very good news, since the key to Indiana for Obama to keep Hillary from landsliding in as many districts as possible.

True...although is rural Indiana that different from Kentucky?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Open primary?  With more GOPers than indies?  Huh...

Obama seems to be faring much better in rural Indiana than I had any reason to expect.

Which is very good news, since the key to Indiana for Obama to keep Hillary from landsliding in as many districts as possible.

True...although is rural Indiana that different from Kentucky?

Yes. At least central and northern Indiana. Remember that Indiana is still in the Midwest, not Appalachia.

If Obama can hold Hillary to a split in every district with an even number of delegates and get these numbers statewide, he'll hold Hillary to a +3 delegate win. Not bad, and certainly puts a cork in J. J.'s wet dream scenario. Of course IN-9 is the trickiest one where Hillary stands a chance at doing better than a split even based on these numbers, but it also contains Bloomington, that might be enough.

[Alcon]

Open primary?  With more GOPers than indies?  Huh...

Obama seems to be faring much better in rural Indiana than I had any reason to expect.

Which is very good news, since the key to Indiana for Obama to keep Hillary from landsliding in as many districts as possible.

True...although is rural Indiana that different from Kentucky?

Yes. At least central and northern Indiana. Remember that Indiana is still in the Midwest, not Appalachia.

I know, but southern Indiana.  I know it's a small subsample, but still.  Doesn't it seem like Obama's doing better in most of the subdistricts than you'd expect (save for N. Indiana maybe)?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Open primary?  With more GOPers than indies?  Huh...

Obama seems to be faring much better in rural Indiana than I had any reason to expect.

Which is very good news, since the key to Indiana for Obama to keep Hillary from landsliding in as many districts as possible.

True...although is rural Indiana that different from Kentucky?

Yes. At least central and northern Indiana. Remember that Indiana is still in the Midwest, not Appalachia.

I know, but southern Indiana.  I know it's a small subsample, but still.  Doesn't it seem like Obama's doing better in most of the subdistricts than you'd expect (save for N. Indiana maybe)?

He's not doing that much better than he did in the comparable parts of Ohio.

[The Mikado]

Tender Branson's fake poll was surprisingly close to reality.

[Alcon]

He's not doing that much better than he did in the comparable parts of Ohio.

I wish Al would do some of his maps with Indiana.  I know nothing about it.  Can you link me to anything to help my understanding?  I'd have thought that she'd be slaughtering in South Indiana.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I wish Al would do some of his maps with Indiana.

Indiana is a very interesting state...

(btw you should be careful of regional breakdowns in polls for more than the usual breakdown concerns; how exactly is "southern Indiana" defined by SUSA is an important question. Note also that Bloomington is in the south of the state).

[Beet]

She has a 21 point lead among white voters. She should do very well in southern Indiana.

[Alcon]

I wish Al would do some of his maps with Indiana.

Indiana is a very interesting state...

(btw you should be careful of regional breakdowns in polls for more than the usual breakdown concerns; how exactly is "southern Indiana" defined by SUSA is an important question. Note also that Bloomington is in the south of the state).

I'm going to a map store and buying myself a map of Indiana tonight for not having known that. 

[© tweed]

the date of the poll should be the final day surveying was conducted (which was 03/31 instead of 04/01)

[Tender Branson]

Tender Branson's fake poll was surprisingly close to reality.

I hope ARG doesn´t copy the numbers of my poll ...

PS: He could improve his numbers in the Evansville area and Northern Indiana, but Clinton could still win by about 3%. Hopefully SUSA polls the state every week now. And now an Oregon poll please.

[Tender Branson]

I wish Al would do some of his maps with Indiana.

how exactly is "southern Indiana" defined by SUSA is an important question.

According to SUSA definition, both Vanderburgh (Evansville) and Monroe (Bloomington) are in their "South Region", as well as 33 other counties ...

http://www.surveyusa.com/SUSA_Regional_Definitions_080220.htm

[Democratic Hawk]

Republicans (12%) breaking for Clinton 56-35, I wonder why? As if I didn't know

Dave

[exopolitician]

Republicans (12%) breaking for Clinton 56-35, I wonder why? As if I didn't know

Dave

Alot of Clinton supporters expressed their "outrage" over the fact republicans used to break so strongly for Obama in past primaries...and how they dont want republicans anywhere near the voting booth in a "democratic" primary. Man how they must be eating their words now

 

[Gustaf]

12% Republicans in a primary where Republicans can't vote? Seems high.