SurveyUSA: Obama NOT competitive in Kentucky

[exopolitician]

A new SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky shows Sen. Hillary Clinton crushing Sen. Barack Obama, 58% to 29%, in the closed Democratic primary to be held on May 20.

Key findings: Clinton leads narrowly in greater Louisville, but leads decisively in other parts of the state, including 4:1 in Eastern KY. Obama trails by 20 among men, trails by 37 among women.


"not competitive" sounds like an understatement....

[Eraserhead]

This is shocking.

[??????????]

Why does the word "duh" come right to mind here?

[Eraserhead]

What is expected size of the black vote in the primary here anyway?

[Verily]

What is expected size of the black vote in the primary here anyway?

Small. 8% of total population, so about 14% of the Democratic primary.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

LOL. "Other" gets 10%.

[bullmoose88]

But he's getting a 125% of the New America Vote.

[agcatter]

This poll is exactly why Hillary won't quit.  Blowout wins in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, West Virginia, a 5 or 6 point win in Indiana are all at least doable given the demographics in those states.  Upset win in Oregon or close loss, keep the loss in North Carolina to single digits, and win 60 - 40 in Puerto Rico.  Pull ahead in the overall popular vote and go to the super delegates with her case.  Michael Barone actually predicts she will, in fact, take a small lead in the popular vote.  Barone is one of the best election numbers guy around and his article this weekend on the primary numbers really surprised me.

Now, will the above primaries play out as described above?  I have no idea and wouldn't presume to predict.  I don't think she'll get the nomination, but there's plenty reason for her not to quit.  Of course, the Clintons just don't quit under any circumstances.  We are all painfully aware of that fact.

[Eraserhead]

LOL. "Other" gets 10%.

Edwards got 10% in Oklahoma post-drop out. I imagine there are still a few Dixiecrats around in these states that don't take kindly to women and negros running the party.

[Tender Branson]

Nothing really special. Just look at southern Illinois, southern Ohio and northern Tennessee. Clinton should get about 60%+ here. Thx for the poll SurveyUSA, but poll Indiana now !

[agcatter]

By all maens, let's get an Indiana poll.  You'd think one of the polling organizations would have stepped up by now.