16% Of Democrats Would Just Stay Home

[Lincoln Republican]

New polling numbers out from CNN

If Barack wins the nomination 16% of Hillary supporters would just stay home in November.

If Hillary wins the nomination 16% of Barack supporters would just stay home in November.

At least as of now, bad news for Democrats.

If this did in fact happen, Mac wins.

[exopolitician]

16% would stay home and 19% would vote for McCain. Pretty sure the democratic party doesnt even exist currently...

[jokerman]

What morons Democrats can be sometimes.  Clinton and Obama are so close together on the issues that this kind of dissatisfaction is just petty and inexcusable.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

What morons Democrats can be sometimes.  Clinton and Obama are so close together on the issues that this kind of dissatisfaction is just petty and inexcusable.

People on BOTH sides are responsible for this position.

Having a nominee by early June (which is when we'll likey have it) is NOT that big a deal. Assuming that the Supers don't step in and end it earlier. Given how close the race is, and how tight the final tally would be... PLUS the FL/MI issue floating around. Democrats need to suck it up, grow up and let the process take its course.

[YRABNNRM]

 The Democratic Party: perfecting the art of royally fcuking up their chances for the Presidency since 1968.

[Flying Dog]

Damn you Clinton and Obama.

[CultureKing]

People will unify after a candidate is chosen, it may take a few weeks but probably 99% of democrats will band together if given McCain as the alternative. People are just really passionate at the moment about their candidates, I know that I personally am a bit ticked off with Clinton but after much grumbling and contemplation I would most likely still vote for her (though probably not volunteer as much).

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I  wouldn't be so sure. McCain still appeals to many Democrats, even though that may surprise you. Many Clinton supporters will not support Obama simply because he's black. I don't think that will change. If they don't vote for McCain, they may just sit at home.

[SPC]

The Democratic Party: perfecting the art of royally fcuking up their chances for the Presidency since 1968.

[Flying Dog]

I  wouldn't be so sure. McCain still appeals to many Democrats, even though that may surprise you. Many Clinton supporters will not support Obama simply because he's black. I don't think that will change. If they don't vote for McCain, they may just sit at home.

The Dixiecrats.

[classical liberal]

I  wouldn't be so sure. McCain still appeals to many Democrats, even though that may surprise you. Many Clinton supporters will not support Obama simply because he's black. I don't think that will change. If they don't vote for McCain, they may just sit at home.

The Dixiecrats.

They don't all live in Dixieland.  We have a bunch of them here in the Midwest.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Many of them live in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio as well. Obama will get slaughtered in the South outside of the Carolinas and Virginia.

[Ogre Mage]

There is a solution to this if both sides will swallow their pride and come to the realization that they need each other.

[memphis]

A great many more than 16% will stay home. At best, Presidential elections have 60% turnout.

[Gustaf]

A great many more than 16% will stay home. At best, Presidential elections have 60% turnout.

Lol. I assume this was based on likely voters or something like that.

Anyway, the number will not be this high on election day. However, a few points:


1. The higher the percentage of the electorate that are registered Democrats the higher one would generally expect the Republican candidate's vote percentage of Democrats to be.
2. George W. Bush, according to the exit polls, recieved 11% of the Democratic vote. And he did all he could to push away Democratic voters. I'd expect McCain to do significantly better. Maybe not 20% but I don't think 15% should be an impossibility.

[Flying Dog]

Obama may lose votes in places like the industrial city's south of Detroit but will pick up votes in Oakland and increase turnout in Wayne. He'll also preform well in the Grand Rapids and Traverse City area. He'll sweep Ann Arbor and win Lansing by a good margin. Saginaw and Flint and Bay City will also be about or above 60% for him.

McCain will do very well around West Michigan Bible Belt but he'll get swamped in Metro Detroit.
He'll also almost sweep the UP and upper LP. 

52-47 Obama is my guess.

[Person Man]

Yeah, a lot of dixiecrats don't support us at the end anyways. We really need to push away those voters. They are ing up our strategic thinking and are more harm than good. What's good is that democratic registration is up.

In 2004,
              B    K
37% D  12   87
37% R   92   7
26% I   48   51
100%    51  48

In 2008 
            M   O
38% D 15  84
32% R  91 8
30% I  48 51
100%  49  50