Gallup Daily Tracking Poll Thread

[Democratic Hawk]

Clinton - 50%
Obama - 40%

Other way around, right?

Yup . I'll edit it

[Democratic Hawk]

Wednesday April 23, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 42%

.....

McCain - 46%
Obama - 45%

McCain - 47%
Clinton - 46%

[Democratic Hawk]

Thursday 24 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 44%

.....

McCain - 45%
Obama - 45%

McCain - 46%
Clinton - 46%

[Democratic Hawk]

Friday 25 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 48%
Clinton - 47%

.....

McCain - 46%
Obama - 45%

Clinton - 47%
McCain - 45%

[agcatter]

These tracking polls are interesting but by November all this looking at polls is going to wear me out.

[Democratic Hawk]

Saturday 26 April, 2008

.....

Clinton - 47%
Obama - 47%

.....

Clinton - 47%
McCain - 44%

Obama - 45%
McCain - 45%

[muon2]

These tracking polls are interesting but by November all this looking at polls is going to wear me out.

I find the best way to stay fresh is to only check the daily trackers about once a week. It gives a much better perspective of the trend, and avoid poll fatigue. You can always step it up in the fall.

[Democratic Hawk]

Sunday 27 April, 2008

.....

Clinton - 47%
Obama - 47%

.....

Clinton - 47%
McCain - 44%

Obama - 45%
McCain - 45%

[agcatter]

I've said it before, i don't want to face Hillary.  Much tougher candidate.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I do wonder how many Democrats are looking on now wondering "did we make a mistake?"

I think Clinton is a better campaigner than Obama, but Obama has a better campaign.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well at this point on time, on paper, Clinton appears to be the stronger candidate. However, this is largely because Obama is the likely nominee, and so everyone is attacking him. For Clinton, this presents two problems.
1. If she was the nominee, she would be the one being attacked
2. Since she has no chance at winning the pledged delegates or the most states,  and most probably will lose the popular vote, too, a lot of people would be seriously pissed if she got the nomination.

[Lief 🗽]

Democrats can't win national elections without the black vote, which Clinton ain't getting in sufficient numbers if she steals the nomination from Obama. There's really no way around that.

[J. J.]

Democrats can't win national elections without the black vote, which Clinton ain't getting in sufficient numbers if she steals the nomination from Obama. There's really no way around that.

I doubt it the Democrats can win a national election without the Reagan Democrats.  I don't see this ending very well for either Clinton or Obama, unless Obama can get them back.

[Math]

Democrats can't win national elections without the black vote, which Clinton ain't getting in sufficient numbers if she steals the nomination from Obama. There's really no way around that.

And you seriously think the blacks will vote for McCain ?

[Alcon]

Democrats can't win national elections without the black vote, which Clinton ain't getting in sufficient numbers if she steals the nomination from Obama. There's really no way around that.

And you seriously think the blacks will vote for McCain ?

The risk is not them voting for McCain, but rather not voting at all.  Of course, Clinton's lead among blacks is currently understated.  So is Obama's lead among blue-collar Democrats, in all likelihood.

[Mr.Phips]

Democrats can't win national elections without the black vote, which Clinton ain't getting in sufficient numbers if she steals the nomination from Obama. There's really no way around that.

And you seriously think the blacks will vote for McCain ?

Probably not, but that doesnt mean that they won't just stay home on election night. 

[Democratic Hawk]

Monday 28 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 47%
Clinton - 46%

.....


Obama - 45%
McCain - 45%

Clinton - 47%
McCain - 44%

[Democratic Hawk]

McCain Widely Recognized as a "War Hero" (April 28, 2008)

Nearly 4 in 10 are attracted by his Vietnam record to his candidacy

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106864/McCain-Widely-Recognized-War-Hero.aspx

Among this:

Percentage With Favorable of Each by Party I/D

McCain: Republican 89%; Independent 62%; Democratic 36%; National 60%

Obama: Republican 30%; Independent 61%; Democratic 80%; National 60%

Clinton: Republican 26%; Independent 48%; Democratic 77%; National 53%

USA Today/Gallup April 18-20

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Tuesday 29 April, 2008

.....

Clinton - 47%
Obama - 46%

.....


Clinton - 47%
McCain - 45%

McCain - 46%
Obama - 44%

[Nutmeg]

McCain Widely Recognized as a "War Hero" (April 28, 2008)

Nearly 4 in 10 are attracted by his Vietnam record to his candidacy

40% is widely?

That aside, I'd expect that survey participants would be more likely to say that they base their vote on someone's heroism than pure, blind partisanship.  Most people try to attribute some higher value to their thoughts and actions.

[Gustaf]

McCain Widely Recognized as a "War Hero" (April 28, 2008)

Nearly 4 in 10 are attracted by his Vietnam record to his candidacy

40% is widely?

That aside, I'd expect that survey participants would be more likely to say that they base their vote on someone's heroism than pure, blind partisanship.  Most people try to attribute some higher value to their thoughts and actions.

You're confusing the questions. 66% consider him to be a war hero, while 20% don't. That's pretty widely. But not all of those say it's a positive factor in their voting, of course.

[Nutmeg]

McCain Widely Recognized as a "War Hero" (April 28, 2008)

Nearly 4 in 10 are attracted by his Vietnam record to his candidacy

40% is widely?

That aside, I'd expect that survey participants would be more likely to say that they base their vote on someone's heroism than pure, blind partisanship.  Most people try to attribute some higher value to their thoughts and actions.

You're confusing the questions. 66% consider him to be a war hero, while 20% don't. That's pretty widely. But not all of those say it's a positive factor in their voting, of course.

Actually, I must admit, I posted that before actually looking at the poll page and then forgot to edit my remarks afterwards.

[Democratic Hawk]

Education Clearly Divides Preferences of White Democrats (April 29, 2008)

Relationship is most powerful among those aged 35 to 54

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106879/Education-Clearly-Divides-Preferences-White-Democrats.aspx

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Wednesday 30 April, 2008

.....

Clinton - 47%
Obama - 46%

.....


Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

McCain - 46%
Obama - 44%

[Democratic Hawk]

Top-of-Mind Candidate Perceptions In-Depth (April 30, 2008)

Mix of positive and negative in Americans’ perceptions of each

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106909/TopofMind-Candidate-Perceptions-InDepth.aspx

Positive, Neutral, and Negative Comments About the Presidential Candidates in Top-of-Mind Responses

Clinton: Positive 30%; Neutral 7%; Negative 55%

McCain: Positive 40%; Neutral 7%; Negative 40%

Obama: Positive 42%; Neutral 7%; Negative 39%

Dave