Gallup Daily Tracking Poll Thread

[Tender Branson]

Saturday 5 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 44%

.....

Obama - 45%
McCain - 45%

McCain - 47%
Clinton - 45%

[Person Man]

Obama finally caught McCain.

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama finally caught McCain.

Catching McCain is one thing; Obama taking a small but sustainable lead is quite another

Dave

[Person Man]

Yeah. Let's see what happens. Next week will tell if this is statistical noise or Obamentum.

[classical liberal]

"Muslim a day, muslim all days."

Amendment I (1791) of the Constitution of the United States of America reads:

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibting the free exercise thereof ...

Islam is not the established, as in official, state religion of the United States of America; consequently, American citizens are not bound by Islamic Sharia Law. Indeed, American citizens are free to choose which faith they practice, if any

Dave

I agree but some voters think that if you are a muslim a day, you will be always a muslim.

That's ridiculous, and Obama has never been a Muslim anyway, so I'm not sure why that matters.  "Some people" are idiots.

Unfortunately, in America, idiots have suffrage.

[Tender Branson]

Sunday - April 6, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 46%

General Election:

McCain vs. Obama: 45-45
McCain vs. Clinton: 47-45

[J. J.]

Yeah. Let's see what happens. Next week will tell if this is statistical noise or Obamentum.

It looks like statistical noise, on this poll at least.

[Tender Branson]

Monday - April 7, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 52%
Clinton - 43%

General Election:

McCain vs. Obama: 45-45
McCain vs. Clinton: 47-45

[Person Man]

Looks like Barrack is still tied.

[Tender Branson]

Tuesday - April 8, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 51%
Clinton - 43%

General Election:

Obama vs. McCain: 45-44
Clinton vs. McCain: 46-46

[Eraserhead]

Back in the lead... it feels so right.

[J. J.]

It looks like statistical noise.

[Alcon]

It looks like statistical noise.

Not to bring up an old debate, why is it that in some polls, you call one percent shifts a "trend," and here, this is "statistical noise"?  What do you know that we don't?

[J. J.]

It looks like statistical noise.

Not to bring up an old debate, why is it that in some polls, you call one percent shifts a "trend," and here, this is "statistical noise"?  What do you know that we don't?

Ah, because yesterday, she was down 9; today she's down by 8 (vs. Obama).  Probably a one day slightly skewed sample, that's still being counted.  A week or so, I may not be saying "noise," if the numbers continue.

[MODU]

Both Rassmusen and Gallop tracking polls show Obama overtaing McCain.  Should be interesting to see how that plays out.

[Tender Branson]

Wednesday - April 9, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 51%
Clinton - 41%

General Election:

Obama vs. McCain: 46-44
Clinton vs. McCain: 46-46

[Eraserhead]

Nice.

[Person Man]

I wonder if this is still statistical noise...

[ottermax]

Obama has maintained a steady lead over Clinton for a few days now. If it stays that way for the next week, I don't think it will change.

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama Education Gap Extends to General Election (April 10, 2008)

McCain leads Obama among those with a high school education or less

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106381/Obama-Education-Gap-Extends-General-Election.aspx

High school or less: McCain 46% - Obama 40%; McCain 43% - Clinton 48%

Some college:McCain 45% - Obama 46% ; McCain 49% - Clinton 44%

Four-year college graduate: McCain 46% - Obama 46%; McCain 51% - Clinton 41%

Postgraduate education: McCain 42% - Obama 52%; McCain 48% - Clinton 45%

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Thursday 10 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 42%

.....

Obama - 45%
McCain - 44%

McCain - 46%
Clinton - 45%

[J. J.]

I wonder if this is still statistical noise...

Since she's back down to 8, I'd say yes. 

It's not a big move either way, though Obama has gained nationally over a long period.

If it drops to six tomorrow, I'd still say minor fluctuation.

[Democratic Hawk]

Friday 11 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 51%
Clinton - 42%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

[Democratic Hawk]

Saturday 12 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 42%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

[J. J.]

At this point, still noise.