MS-01: The Other 4/22 election

[RBH]

The catch: there's a runoff on April 1st between Holland and Childers, and between Davis and McCullough.

And I don't know if either one can get themselves off the ballot between 4/1 and 4/22.

But if nobody wins a majority on 4/22, then there's a runoff on 5/13.

[RBH]

Maps for the 3/11 primaries

Democratic Primary
Childers - 41.51%
Holland - 30.78%
Coleman - 13.07%
Neely - 10.58%
Hurt - 4.07%



Republican Primary

McCullough - 38.88%
Davis - 36.79%
Russell - 24.33%



Speaking as a partisan, I would prefer a Davis win in the runoff, because McCullough is going to draw more votes in Northeast Mississippi, and DeSoto will vote Republican no matter what. So Davis would probably fare worse in a general election than McCullough.

[memphis]

McCullough is going to win. Although the seat was Democratic forever, the Republicans are entrenched now. Davis is going to win big in the Memphis suburbs, but the majority of people live in the rural areas. We'll probably get a DeSoto person in there before too long the way the county is growing though.

[7,052,770]

Steve Holland has maybe a 1-in-6 shot of winning the general election in November.  He'd pretty much have to win every county in the district except DeSoto.  But he's a very well known name and popular legislator in the NE part of the state.

[memphis]

Steve Holland has maybe a 1-in-6 shot of winning the general election in November.  He'd pretty much have to win every county in the district except DeSoto.  But he's a very well known name and popular legislator in the NE part of the state.

You know a MS Dem is in bad shape when even Harry gives him bad odds

[RBH]

Any thoughts on Childers from the natives?

[Sam Spade]

Steve Holland has maybe a 1-in-6 shot of winning the general election in November.  He'd pretty much have to win every county in the district except DeSoto.  But he's a very well known name and popular legislator in the NE part of the state.

You know a MS Dem is in bad shape when even Harry gives him bad odds

I should translate Harry's prediction into ---

He doesn't have a shot in hell.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

McCullough is going to win.

I sure as hell hope so.  McCullough's term on the TVA board was not great, but this may one of those cases of "Vote the crook, it's important", if you know what I mean.