RI PrimD: Brown University: Clinton leads Obama, but many are choosing "Uncommitted"

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Rhode Island President by Brown University on 2008-02-10

Summary:

Clinton:	36%
Obama:	28%
NA:	27%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

"Uncommitted": 27%

[Erc]

Uncommitted = Undecided, since we aren't in Michigan anymore.  (Yes, a couple percent may pick it, but it won't be a factor)  [unless there's a crazy tradition of voting Uncommitted in RI...but considering RI doesn't exactly have a tradition of primary voting in the first place, I doubt it].

Clinton wins RI without question--the state is all but made for her.  The question is whether she can break 62% statewide...and that doesn't appear at all likely, if we can read anything from this poll.

So Clinton gets 12 delegates to Obama's 9.  Might as well add that into my results thread...

[Adlai Stevenson]

My prediction:

RHODE ISLAND DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY -
54% Clinton
43% Obama
  2% Others

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Uni poll = burn

[Gabu]

When you've got only two candidates to pick from and the person in the lead gets 36%, you know your poll has problems.

[ilikeverin]

Uni poll = burn

But... but... but... it's one of my top choices

[Eraserhead]

I predict a narrow victory for Obama.

[Gabu]

I predict a narrow victory for Obama.

How would Obama have barely managed 40% of the vote in Massachusetts but then win in Rhode Island?  I don't see that much difference.

[Aizen]

Yeah, RI is more like MA than CT sadly

[Alcon]

RI is really even MA-er than MA.

[Verily]

I predict a narrow victory for Obama.

How would Obama have barely managed 40% of the vote in Massachusetts but then win in Rhode Island?  I don't see that much difference.

The only things I can think of are more time campaigning and better national numbers. Doesn't make it likely, however.

[exopolitician]

I'll laugh if he actually wins Rhode Island though...I want to see the ridiculous excuse Clinton's Campaign comes up with for losing it.

[Gabu]

I'll laugh if he actually wins Rhode Island though...I want to see the ridiculous excuse Clinton's Campaign comes up with for losing it.

"Well, a state like Rhode Island is one in which Democrats will never be competitive in..."

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

RI is really even MA-er than MA.

That statement makes no sense and is a perfect example of an oxymoron.

[Alcon]

RI is really even MA-er than MA.

That statement makes no sense and is a perfect example of an oxymoron.

Sigh, BRTD, seriously.

People are using "MA-y" to mean full of the working-class machine Democratic voters that put Clinton over the top in Massachusetts.  I'm saying that not only does Rhode Island have more of those type of voters than Connecticut, but Massachusetts too.

By the way, it's a paradox, not an oxymoron.

[© tweed]

reminds me of how I once described the Khmer Rouge as 'more Maoist than Mao'

[Smash255]

Favors Clinton, but could be interesting.  Does Chafee get involved here in anyway, while he hasn't said it outright he has hinted at favoring Obama.  Also the state is VERY anti war (I would say more so than MA, and the most anti war state other than VT), so the war could play a role, especially if the increase in violence we have seen over the last few days continues

[Gabu]

Does Chafee get involved here in anyway, while he hasn't said it outright he has hinted at favoring Obama.

Sheldon Whitehouse beat Chafee and he supports Clinton.  I think he wins.

[Eraserhead]

Looking back now, I wish I supported Chafee.

As for why I think Obama might win RI, it's because I think the Clinton campaign may essentially collapse before the 4th. I could be wrong about that though.