AZ PrimR: Rocky Mountian: McCain Leads AZ by 13%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: Arizona President by Rocky Mountian on 2008-01-24

Summary:

McCain:	39%
Romney:	26%
Thompson, F:	9%
Giuliani:	6%
Other:	14%
Undecided:	6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

With a title like this, it may be biased for Romney: ROMNEY NEEDS BIG GET-OUT-THE-VOTE EFFORT TO CATCH McCAIN



Republican Presidential Primary – Arizona (Includes early voters)

All Republicans Most likely to vote

Firm

Might

Change Total Firm

Might

Change Total

McCain 25% 15% 40% 23% 16% 39%

Romney 11 12 23 12 14 26

Huckabee 5 4 9 5 4 9

Guiliani 3 4 7 3 3 6

Thompson2 3 4 7 2 7 9

Hunter 1 * 1 1 0 1

Keyes * 0 * 0 * *

Paul 1 2 3 2 2 4

No preference yet 10 6

* Less than ½ of 1 percent

2 Thompson withdrew from Campaign this week but his name will still be on the ballot.

[Adlai Stevenson]

I would have expected McCain's lead to have been bigger than this somehow.  It matters less in a winner-takes-all GOP Primary though, I suppose. 

[Meeker]

There's been a lot of rebellious anti-McCain folks making noise in the Arizona GOP in the past year or so - he's not overwhelmingly popular amongst them.

[Mr. Morden]

He'll still end up winning it though, and AZ is WTA, so there's not much point in Romney making an effort there.

[Verily]

There's been a lot of rebellious anti-McCain folks making noise in the Arizona GOP in the past year or so - he's not overwhelmingly popular amongst them.

There's also a big Mormon vote in Arizona, as large as in Nevada. If they go 95% for Romney again, he'll do very well.

[Hash]

Surprisingly close for a homestate

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I would have expected McCain's lead to have been bigger than this somehow.  It matters less in a winner-takes-all GOP Primary though, I suppose. 

But if it's very close, it looks bad in the media when you have a competitive home state race.

[Eraserhead]

A fairly weak lead but it's to be expected. A lot of Arizona Republicans hate him.

[Person Man]

Hmmm....his underbelly is weak.

[Aizen]

Yeah, my uncle lives in Arizona and hates McCain. He's a Romney supporter

[Person Man]

Yeah, my uncle lives in Arizona and hates McCain. He's a Romney supporter

I only see Romney support around here.

[Eraserhead]

Yeah, my uncle lives in Arizona and hates McCain. He's a Romney supporter

I only see Romney support around here.

No Ron paul support?

[Person Man]

Yeah, my uncle lives in Arizona and hates McCain. He's a Romney supporter

I only see Romney support around here.

No Ron paul support?

In Fort Collins... yeah.

[Umengus]

If I was Romney (and with his fortune), I would spend a lot of money in Arizona. If he can beat Mc Cain in his home state, Mc Cain will be in serious trouble.

[Gustaf]

Rocky Mountain is a complete crap poll, IIRC. But one would expect McCain to not be all that strong in Arizona despite it being a home state.