official SC Democratic results thread

[ElectionAtlas]

Hi,
I've uploaded complete SC results by county and CD
Enjoy,
Dave

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Hi,
I've uploaded complete SC results by county and CD
Enjoy,
Dave

Fantastic, thanks.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Hi,
I've uploaded complete SC results by county and CD
Enjoy,
Dave

Cool.  Thanks!!

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Well... congratulations to Senator Obama and his supporters. It's a very good win, and you deserve to be proud of your accomplishment.

[Eraserhead]

Well... congratulations to Senator Obama and his supporters. It's a very good win, and you deserve to be proud of your accomplishment.

Thank you.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Well... congratulations to Senator Obama and his supporters. It's a very good win, and you deserve to be proud of your accomplishment.

On behalf of Senator and Mrs. Obama, I sincerely thank you for your words of support and encouragement.  Together, we will bring change we can believe in.  YES WE CAN!!!

[Speed of Sound]

Wow. I got the news at work, and it made for a hell of a day! This revitalizes my belief that we can win this nomination after all. WOOTZ! ^__^

[Alcon]

Insane turnout:

There were almost 80% as many votes in this primary as there were for Kerry in the 2004 General.

Excluding unallocated votes (which inflates numbers some), this went as high as 93% in the third district.

[Aizen]

Isn't it kind of sad that the Democrats had much higher vote totals in South Carolina?

[Alcon]

In fact, turnout in Newberry County was 102% of what Kerry's vote in 2004 was.  Considering that growth was only about 2 percent, that's absolutely incredible.

[Flying Dog]

Isn't it kind of sad that the Democrats had much higher vote totals in South Carolina?

Yes. Republicans can't even win turnout in their core states. Pathetic.

[Smash255]

28.92% victory WOW

[John Dibble]

Just got back from an office party and read through all this. Needless to say I'm very happy about the results. This will hopefully make Super Tuesday easier for Obama. I'm still expecting it to be a fight that'll last after that, but it'll give him a much needed boost.

[Flying Dog]

Obama's ground team manager in South Carolina was the same one that masterminded his win in IA. He's 2 for 2. He didn't manage NH. I hope Obama sends him right to California now.

[MarkWarner08]

Obama's ground team manager in South Carolina was the same one that masterminded his win in IA. He's 2 for 2. He didn't manage NH. I hope Obama sends him right to California now.

What's his name? This guy might be the next Michael Whouley.

[Eraserhead]

Obama's ground team manager in South Carolina was the same one that masterminded his win in IA. He's 2 for 2. He didn't manage NH. I hope Obama sends him right to California now.

Agreed. Put him on a plane right now.

[MarkWarner08]

Michigan:

Hillary Clinton: 55.2% (327,524 out of 592,972)

South Carolina:

Barack Obama: 55.4% (295,214 out of 532,468)

Unbelievable...

[Smash255]

Does anyone know what this means for the vote in New York?  Isn't New York State almost 20% black?  I'd imagine a higher percentage of Democratic Primary Voters will be black as well.

New York State is about 16% black, I saw something on CNN about 17%, (which might be % of registered voters that were black).  Looking at some of the Party breakdowns of some of the heavily black districts they are generally in the upper 70's % wise for the Dems (of registered voters)  So 75% Democratic would be a safe bet for blacks in NY state.


According to the NY Board of elections as of Nov 07 their are 11,245,218 registered voters in NY state.  Assuming 17% of those registered are black (according to CNN) you have 1,911,687 registered black voters in NY.  NY state also has 5,336,241 registered Democrats.

if registered blacks are 70% democratic blacks would account for 25.1% of registered  Dems

at 75% they would account for  26.9% of registered Dems

at 80% they would account for 28.7% of registered Dems

[Sam Spade]

O/c, turnout will be slightly lower for blacks in the primary than among other communities.

My guess is that blacks will probably make up around 20%-25% of the electorate in the primary.

As I remember, Jesse Jackson performed decently strong here in 1988, but obviously Dukakis won.

[© tweed]

blacks comprised 20% of the NY Democratic primary electorate in 2004

[Sam Spade]

blacks comprised 20% of the NY Democratic primary electorate in 2004

Sounds about right.  They could be higher in this one.  Of course, he'll get killed in all those upstate cities and among the Jews and Catholics (and probably the Hispanics and Chinese in the city), but it won't be an embarrassment, probably.

[MarkWarner08]

blacks comprised 20% of the NY Democratic primary electorate in 2004

Sounds about right.  They could be higher in this one.  Of course, he'll get killed in all those upstate cities and among the Jews and Catholics (and probably the Hispanics and Chinese in the city), but it won't be an embarrassment, probably.

Remember this story? http://tinyurl.com/27rt2e

[Sam Spade]

blacks comprised 20% of the NY Democratic primary electorate in 2004

Sounds about right.  They could be higher in this one.  Of course, he'll get killed in all those upstate cities and among the Jews and Catholics (and probably the Hispanics and Chinese in the city), but it won't be an embarrassment, probably.

Yeah, remember this story?http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-donors19oct19,0,1976718,full.story?coll=la-home-center

I put that specific group there in case someone might notice. 

[CultureKing]

Michigan:

Hillary Clinton: 55.2% (327,524 out of 592,972)

South Carolina:

Barack Obama: 55.4% (295,214 out of 532,468)

Unbelievable...

Wow, he did better than Clinton when she was going against "Uncommitted"

[Smash255]

blacks comprised 20% of the NY Democratic primary electorate in 2004

Sounds about right.  They could be higher in this one.  Of course, he'll get killed in all those upstate cities and among the Jews and Catholics (and probably the Hispanics and Chinese in the city), but it won't be an embarrassment, probably.

Keep in mind that by the time the 04 Primary reached NY, it was already over, so that may have reduced Primary turnout for blacks a bit as they are less likely to come out in the primary in the 1st place.  Thinking about it some more the upper 20's might be a tad high, but 20% is probably a bit low as well.   Blacks will probably make up right around 25% of the vote in NY dem primary.  Turnout among both whites and blacks in S.C were amazingly high, but it looks like it was even stronger among blacks compared to normal.  IIRC the white/black split among registered Dems in S.C is right around 50/50, according to the exit polls it was 45/55.