What's left of Iowa polling?

[Erc]

What polls can we expect to come out between now and the caucus?

Are there any last-minute polls (i.e. conducted January 2nd, the first day in any way outside the holiday season in a long time) whose results would be released before the caucus?

[Tender Branson]

What polls can we expect to come out between now and the caucus?

Are there any last-minute polls (i.e. conducted January 2nd, the first day in any way outside the holiday season in a long time) whose results would be released before the caucus?

Zogby`s Daily Tracking (2 of them) and maybe Rasmussen.

[Mr. Morden]

There will definitely be polls conducted on Jan. 2nd and released on the morning of the 3rd.  That kind of thing happens in every big election nowadays.

[Verily]

There will definitely be polls conducted on Jan. 2nd and released on the morning of the 3rd.  That kind of thing happens in every big election nowadays.

But whom? If it's just Zogby and some stupid TV pollster like CNN or FOX, it's hardly worth looking at. Rasmussen is the only worthwhile pollster who hasn't had a last-minute poll, but there doesn't seem to be anything to suggest that Rasmussen plans to have a last-minute Iowa poll.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

IIRC, the Free Press claimed the Des Moines Register's poll to be the last one conducted before the caucus.

[Verily]

IIRC, the Free Press claimed the Des Moines Register's poll to be the last one conducted before the caucus.

Well, it will be impossible for any multi-day polls to be released; polling on the 1st would obviously be extremely problematic, so no one but Zogby would even bother. That means that any poll released would be a single-day poll, and almost no one does single-day polls.

[Mr. Morden]

Polling on the night of the 31st (as Zogby has done in IA and Suffolk University has done in NH) is completely crazy.  But is polling on the night of the 1st really any more problematic than polling on any other night between Christmas and New Year's?  Are people any more likely to go out on the night of the 1st (when most of them probably have work the next day) than on the night of Saturday Dec. 29th or Sunday Dec. 30th?

Oh, and four years ago, there was a Time/CNN national poll conducted on 12/30 & 1/1 (12/31 was skipped):

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm

So it's not totally unprecedented.

[Erc]

Related note...schools in Iowa (primary & secondary) appear to generally start again on the 3rd [Dubuque, Davenport, Mason City, Keokuk, Ames, Clear Lake] with a few starting on the 2nd [Des Moines, Marshalltown]

--so a lot of families with school-aged children might even be out of town until the 2nd (although families with school aged children are probably not likely caucusgoers unless they can get babysitters or the kids are old enough to take care of themselves)

[© tweed]

Rasmussen should check in again.  as will ARG, but nobody cares.