EV map for 2020

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

And if you have Minnesota as blue on the basis of the growth of the heavily GOP exurbs, the collapse of the housing bubble has basically killed that area, the growth has heavily dropped, and some of the newly built subdivisions have become basically ghost towns (interesting article on this in the StarTrib about a week ago.) Meanwhile Minneapolis has started gaining population again. The "trend" in the state that Republicans worshiped from 2000-2006 and have now mostly shut up about is for certain dead assuming it ever existed in the first place.

[cannonia]

And if you have Minnesota as blue on the basis of the growth of the heavily GOP exurbs, the collapse of the housing bubble has basically killed that area, the growth has heavily dropped, and some of the newly built subdivisions have become basically ghost towns (interesting article on this in the StarTrib about a week ago.) Meanwhile Minneapolis has started gaining population again. The "trend" in the state that Republicans worshiped from 2000-2006 and have now mostly shut up about is for certain dead assuming it ever existed in the first place.

I'm assuming he is using red for the GOP and blue for the Dems, which *is* confusing on this site.

Personally, I think any prediction for 2040 is nonsense.  For one thing, what are the parties going to look like?  What will the economy look like?  Will immigration continue at the current levels?  Will one party "lock up" Hispanic voters, or will they be a swing constituency?  There's really just no basis for predicting that far ahead.

[Brittain33]

Personally, I think any prediction for 2040 is nonsense.  For one thing, what are the parties going to look like?  What will the economy look like?  Will immigration continue at the current levels?  Will one party "lock up" Hispanic voters, or will they be a swing constituency?  There's really just no basis for predicting that far ahead.

Yeah. What would be the impact of climate change (Florida whacked even more than usual, southern Plains agriculture becoming uneconomic), permanently high oil prices, or any number of other factors on settlement patterns? Where are the Arizonans of the future going to get their water? Predicting Florida to be solid Republican 40 years from now would be like predicting California to be solid Republican today based on the 1970s. Where will the immigrants of 2010s and 2020s come from, and how will they vote? Latin America's birthrates are down, while it's becoming much more feasible for people to come here from Africa and S. Asia.