NH PrimR: Suffolk University: McCain pulls ahead of Romney in NH
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  NH PrimR: Suffolk University: McCain pulls ahead of Romney in NH
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Author Topic: NH PrimR: Suffolk University: McCain pulls ahead of Romney in NH  (Read 3695 times)
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Miamiu1027
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« on: January 01, 2008, 12:40:16 PM »

New Poll: New Hampshire President by Suffolk University on 2007-12-31

Summary:
McCain:
31%
Romney:
25%
Giuliani:
14%
Huckabee:
9%
Paul:
6%
Other:
3%
Undecided:
12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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jacob_101
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« Reply #1 on: January 01, 2008, 02:39:33 PM »

Yes!  Huck and McCain need to stop Romney!
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: January 01, 2008, 03:49:48 PM »

Right about on cue.  Although Suffolk is not the greatest polling firm in NH.
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BRTD
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« Reply #3 on: January 01, 2008, 03:50:54 PM »

NH PrimR: Suffolk University: McCain pulls ahead of Romney in NH

Note bolded word.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #4 on: January 01, 2008, 03:59:08 PM »

Suffolk U's last poll from 2004 primary: (actual vote in [])

Kerry 38 [38]
Dean 17 [26]
Clark 10 [12]
Edwards 9 [12]
Lieberman 5 [8]
Kucinich 1 [1]
Sharpton 1

so they did very well IMO... except for the apparently high # of undecideds.... got the order right... and keep in mind they polled from 1/23-25 and Dean made a mini-comeback at the end before hitting rock bottom early in the week so I don't think it's entirely fair to dismiss what they say with the Uni poll tag.  be a skeptic, but don't trash it...

their last GE poll had Kerry up 46-41 with about two weeks to go.  Kerry won 50.24 to 48.87.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: January 01, 2008, 04:01:38 PM »

Suffolk University is much better than the LA Times in NH and probably better than ARG (historically).

Nowhere near as good as UNH, though.

That's of the polls in the average.  I will listen to Rasmussen.  Gallup not as much, however.
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Meeker
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« Reply #6 on: January 01, 2008, 04:16:59 PM »

Thompson hits a new low: 2%
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BRTD
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« Reply #7 on: January 01, 2008, 07:57:01 PM »

What, NH has actually had good uni polls? I thought the rule was to toss all of them except Quinnipiac.
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Verily
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« Reply #8 on: January 01, 2008, 07:57:50 PM »
« Edited: January 01, 2008, 07:59:25 PM by Verily »

What, NH has actually had good uni polls? I thought the rule was to toss all of them except Quinnipiac.

University of New Hampshire is the best in NH. Suffolk is terrible.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #9 on: January 02, 2008, 02:09:05 AM »

What, NH has actually had good uni polls? I thought the rule was to toss all of them except Quinnipiac.

The same Quinnipiac that was including Gore well after it was clear he was not going to run?

As for the Suffolk poll, I really hope it is true if Edwards ends up as the Democratic nominee.  That way I'll have someone to vote for other than third parties.  I think a McCain presidency along with a Democratic Congress would be acceptable at worst.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: January 02, 2008, 02:12:12 AM »

Any poll with interviews conducted on the night of New Year's Eve has to be considered a little suspect.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #11 on: January 02, 2008, 02:23:23 AM »

It is worth noting, if you ignore the topline numbers out of quality concerns, that McCain got a huge bump and Romney fell hard when compared to the last Suffolk University poll.
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BRTD
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« Reply #12 on: January 02, 2008, 12:52:50 PM »

What, NH has actually had good uni polls? I thought the rule was to toss all of them except Quinnipiac.

The same Quinnipiac that was including Gore well after it was clear he was not going to run?

Yes, that was dumb, but it has nothing to do with their results when the choices consist only of candidates who are actually running, which are usually good for a uni poll. All other uni polls have been trash.
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #13 on: January 02, 2008, 12:58:53 PM »

Good, Romney needs to be stopped.

 McCain keeps getting back on my good side, and gets closer and closer to getting my formal endorsment.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #14 on: January 02, 2008, 02:05:34 PM »

CNN/WMUR now shows McCain and Romney tied.  I can see where the momentum is headed here (as can a blind bat).
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #15 on: January 02, 2008, 05:07:10 PM »

CNN/WMUR now shows McCain and Romney tied.  I can see where the momentum is headed here (as can a blind bat).

This would hurt Romney's chances if he loses both Iowa and New Hampshire. I'm rooting for McCain. He's the only other Republican I could really get excited about.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #16 on: January 02, 2008, 05:15:39 PM »

A Huckabee/McCain tandem in IA and NH would ensure continued confusion in the GOP primary going forward.

The Iowa race is really too close to call here.  My prediction right now is pretty much only an educated guess.

I feel much more confident about what I see in NH, frankly.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #17 on: January 02, 2008, 05:27:35 PM »

A Huckabee/McCain tandem in IA and NH would ensure continued confusion in the GOP primary going forward.

The Iowa race is really too close to call here.  My prediction right now is pretty much only an educated guess.

I feel much more confident about what I see in NH, frankly.

And as a Rudy support, that is exactly what I want. I want his supporters to regain optimism and think that it is still anybody's game. He can still win Nevada and Florida before Super Tuesday.
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M
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« Reply #18 on: January 03, 2008, 12:52:34 AM »

Yes!  Huck and McCain need to stop Romney!

hurrah!
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M
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« Reply #19 on: January 03, 2008, 12:53:01 AM »

CNN/WMUR now shows McCain and Romney tied.  I can see where the momentum is headed here (as can a blind bat).

This would hurt Romney's chances if he loses both Iowa and New Hampshire. I'm rooting for McCain. He's the only other Republican I could really get excited about.

same
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #20 on: January 03, 2008, 03:38:36 PM »

McCain 29%
Romney 25%
Huckabee 12%
Giuliani 9%
Paul 8%

Clinton 39%
Obama 23%
Edwards 17%
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MODU
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« Reply #21 on: January 03, 2008, 05:04:16 PM »


Not that it would be the end of his run, but wouldn't it be sad/funny if Romney lost both Iowa and New Hampshire, especially after all of the time and money he spent building up his logistics out there?
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Aizen
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« Reply #22 on: January 03, 2008, 05:20:29 PM »


Not that it would be the end of his run, but wouldn't it be sad/funny if Romney lost both Iowa and New Hampshire, especially after all of the time and money he spent building up his logistics out there?


Yep, 17 million down the drain. lol.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #23 on: January 03, 2008, 05:22:18 PM »


Not that it would be the end of his run, but wouldn't it be sad/funny if Romney lost both Iowa and New Hampshire, especially after all of the time and money he spent building up his logistics out there?

It might not end his run but it certainly make it pretty pointless. I can't see him winning after that.
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