Sources for predictions
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Author Topic: Sources for predictions  (Read 1544 times)
Esteban Manuel
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« on: February 09, 2004, 08:21:33 PM »

I'm trying to predict by myself but i'm not sure about the means that i can use. I don't know if there are polls state by state (the big polls -ie CNN/Gallup- are delibered as national) wich are necesary to predict.

I'll probe with the primary turnout in relation with that of 2000 (democrat) to stimate the predict democrat vote state by state for November, Problems of that method:

1. I haven't (and i'll never have) the primary result for many states (probably most of post- March 2)

2. Probably the competitiveness of this primary movilize more intra-democrat voters than 2000 did and that maybe didn't mean an rise in total democrat voters.

That's the reason because of I'm asking for sugestions...Thaks.

Pd. I'm sorry by the language but i'm latin american foreign.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2004, 05:14:08 AM »

Try: www.dcpoliticalreport.com
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Gustaf
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« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2004, 12:21:38 PM »


Hehe...Dcpoliticalreport makes it's 6th showing in the forum! Cheesy
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